globalchange  > 气候减缓与适应
DOI: 10.1007/s12665-019-8047-0
WOS记录号: WOS:000456011200002
论文题名:
Projected changes in climate and hydrological regimes of the Western Siberian lowlands
作者: Sada, Rajesh1,2; Schmalz, Britta1,3; Kiesel, Jens1,4; Fohrer, Nicola1
通讯作者: Sada, Rajesh
刊名: ENVIRONMENTAL EARTH SCIENCES
ISSN: 1866-6280
EISSN: 1866-6299
出版年: 2019
卷: 78, 期:2
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Temperature change ; Precipitation change ; Statistical downscaling ; Hydrological modelling ; Western Siberia
WOS关键词: CHANGE IMPACTS ; PRECIPITATION ; TEMPERATURE ; DISCHARGE ; SDSM ; TOOL
WOS学科分类: Environmental Sciences ; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary ; Water Resources
WOS研究方向: Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Geology ; Water Resources
英文摘要:

In this study, we analyse possible future climatic changes in three catchments, namely, Pyshma, Vagai and Loktinka located in the Western Siberian lowland region, and the resulting impact on hydrological regimes. It involved downscaling the GCM outputs based on the established statistical relationship between large-scale atmospheric variables and station data and simulating the effects of climate change on hydrological regimes via hydrological modelling. This was done for RCP 2.6, 4.5 and 8.5 based on second-generation Canadian Earth System Model used in the IPCC fifth assessment report. This paper provides the first climate change projections on a local scale in these catchments. The statistical downscaling showed that there will be an increase in both maximum and minimum temperature at all stations under all scenarios. The mean annual daily precipitation increased in Loktinka and Pyshma basins under all scenarios, but there was no clear trend in Vagai basin. The possible increase in annual precipitation is mostly due to the projected increase in autumn and winter precipitation. Annual streamflow tends to increase in all catchments under all scenarios.


Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/127085
Appears in Collections:气候减缓与适应

Files in This Item:

There are no files associated with this item.


作者单位: 1.Univ Kiel, Dept Hydrol & Water Resources Management, Kiel, Germany
2.WWF Nepal, Freshwater Program, Pabitra Pyara Marg, Kathmandu, Nepal
3.Tech Univ Darmstadt, Chair Engn Hydrol & Water Management, Darmstadt, Germany
4.Leibniz Inst Freshwater Ecol & Inland Fisheries, Ecosyst Res, Berlin, Germany

Recommended Citation:
Sada, Rajesh,Schmalz, Britta,Kiesel, Jens,et al. Projected changes in climate and hydrological regimes of the Western Siberian lowlands[J]. ENVIRONMENTAL EARTH SCIENCES,2019-01-01,78(2)
Service
Recommend this item
Sava as my favorate item
Show this item's statistics
Export Endnote File
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[Sada, Rajesh]'s Articles
[Schmalz, Britta]'s Articles
[Kiesel, Jens]'s Articles
百度学术
Similar articles in Baidu Scholar
[Sada, Rajesh]'s Articles
[Schmalz, Britta]'s Articles
[Kiesel, Jens]'s Articles
CSDL cross search
Similar articles in CSDL Cross Search
[Sada, Rajesh]‘s Articles
[Schmalz, Britta]‘s Articles
[Kiesel, Jens]‘s Articles
Related Copyright Policies
Null
收藏/分享
所有评论 (0)
暂无评论
 

Items in IR are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.