globalchange  > 气候减缓与适应
DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2018.10.055
WOS记录号: WOS:000454376900053
论文题名:
Hourly-resolution analysis of electricity decarbonization in Spain (2017-2030)
作者: Victoria, Marta1,2; Gallego-Castillo, Cristobal3
通讯作者: Victoria, Marta
刊名: APPLIED ENERGY
ISSN: 0306-2619
EISSN: 1872-9118
出版年: 2019
卷: 233, 页码:674-690
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Energy modeling ; Energy analysis ; 100% renewable power system ; Renewable grid integration ; Time series analysis ; Spain
WOS关键词: 100-PERCENT RENEWABLE-ELECTRICITY ; ENERGY-SYSTEM ; WIND ; SOLAR ; PHOTOVOLTAICS ; FEASIBILITY ; PENETRATION ; SCENARIOS ; SYNERGIES ; DEMAND
WOS学科分类: Energy & Fuels ; Engineering, Chemical
WOS研究方向: Energy & Fuels ; Engineering
英文摘要:

Two alternative paths to achieve highly-renewable electricity generation in peninsular Spain are investigated in this paper. Every transition path comprises a description of the installed and decommissioned generation and storage capacities, from 2017 to 2030, as well as a hypothesis on the evolution of the electricity demand. The electricity mix for every hour within the transition path is determined through a dispatch algorithm that prioritizes electricity from renewable energy sources. The simulation is run for 900 different combinations of time series representing the hourly capacity factors of different technologies, as well as the electricity demand. This robust approach allows the evaluation of the transition paths based on the statistical distribution of several defined assessment criteria, such as security of supply, CO2 emissions or renewable share in electricity generation. The feasibility of a Spanish power system with high renewable penetration is investigated not only in a future reference year but throughout the transition path. In particular, a progressive and simultaneous phase-out of nuclear and coal power plants in the short-term is proven to be feasible. Furthermore, the results sensitivity is analyzed including scenarios with a delayed nuclear phase-out, lower hydroelectricity generation due to more frequent and severe droughts caused by climate change and higher annual increment for the electricity demand.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/127257
Appears in Collections:气候减缓与适应

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作者单位: 1.Univ Politecn Madrid, Inst Energia Solar, Ciudad Univ, E-28040 Madrid, Spain
2.Aarhus Univ, Dept Engn, Inge Lehmann Gade 10, DK-8000 Aarhus C, Denmark
3.Univ Politecn Madrid, DAVE ETSIAE, Plaza Cardenal Cisneros 3, E-28040 Madrid, Spain

Recommended Citation:
Victoria, Marta,Gallego-Castillo, Cristobal. Hourly-resolution analysis of electricity decarbonization in Spain (2017-2030)[J]. APPLIED ENERGY,2019-01-01,233:674-690
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