Global biodiversity targets have far-reaching implications for nature conservation worldwide. Scenarios and models hold unfulfilled promise for ensuring such targets are well founded and implemented; here, we review how they can and should inform the Aichi Targets of the Strategic Plan for Biodiversity and their reformulation. They offer two clear benefits: providing a scientific basis for the wording and quantitative elements of targets; and identifying synergies and trade-offs by accounting for interactions between targets and the actions needed to achieve them. The capacity of scenarios and models to address complexity makes them invaluable for developing meaningful targets and policy, and improving conservation outcomes.
1.Deakin Univ, Sch Life & Environm Sci, Ctr Integrat Ecol, Geelong, Vic, Australia 2.CSIRO Oceans & Atmosphere, Hobart, Tas, Australia 3.Univ Tasmania, Ctr Marine Socioecol, Hobart, Tas, Australia 4.IUCN, Gland, Switzerland 5.Univ Philippines, World Agroforestry Ctr ICRAF, Los Banos, Laguna, Philippines 6.Univ Tasmania, Inst Marine & Antarctic Studies, Hobart, Tas, Australia 7.CSIR, Nat Resources & Environm, Stellenbosch, South Africa 8.Univ Paris Saclay, Univ Paris Sud, CNRS, Ecol Systemat Evolut,AgroParisTech, Orsay, France 9.Univ Sao Paulo, Dept Ecol, Sao Paulo, Brazil 10.CSIRO Land & Water, Canberra, ACT, Australia 11.Univ Melbourne, Australian Res Council Ctr Excellence Environm De, Sch Biosci, Melbourne, Vic, Australia 12.Univ Hawaii Manoa, Dept Nat Resources & Environm Management, Manoa, HI USA 13.Univ Queensland, Sch Earth & Environm Sci, Brisbane, Qld, Australia 14.Wildlife Conservat Soc, Global Conservat Program, Bronx, NY USA
Recommended Citation:
Nicholson, Emily,Fulton, Elizabeth A.,Brooks, Thomas M.,et al. Scenarios and Models to Support Global Conservation Targets[J]. TRENDS IN ECOLOGY & EVOLUTION,2019-01-01,34(1):57-68