globalchange  > 气候减缓与适应
DOI: 10.1080/10618600.2018.1482764
WOS记录号: WOS:000465333200010
论文题名:
A Spatial Markov Model for Climate Extremes
作者: Reich, Brian J.1; Shaby, Benjamin A.2
通讯作者: Reich, Brian J.
刊名: JOURNAL OF COMPUTATIONAL AND GRAPHICAL STATISTICS
ISSN: 1061-8600
EISSN: 1537-2715
出版年: 2019
卷: 28, 期:1, 页码:117-126
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Areal data ; Bayesian data analysis ; Climate change ; Conditionally autoregressive prior ; Generalized extreme value distribution
WOS关键词: INDEPENDENCE
WOS学科分类: Statistics & Probability
WOS研究方向: Mathematics
英文摘要:

Spatial climate data are often presented as summaries of areal regions such as grid cells, either because they are the output of numerical climate models or to facilitate comparison with numerical climate model output. Extreme value analysis can benefit greatly from spatial methods that borrow information across regions. For Gaussian outcomes, a host of methods that respect the areal nature of the data are available, including conditional and simultaneous autoregressive models. However, to our knowledge, there is no such method in the spatial extreme value analysis literature. In this article, we propose a new method for areal extremes that accounts for spatial dependence using latent clustering of neighboring regions. We show that the proposed model has desirable asymptotic dependence properties and leads to relatively simple computation. Applying the proposed method to North American climate data reveals several local and continental-scale changes in the distribution of precipitation and temperature extremes over time. Supplementary material for this article is available online.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/127666
Appears in Collections:气候减缓与适应

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作者单位: 1.North Carolina State Univ, Dept Stat, Raleigh, NC 27695 USA
2.Penn State Univ, Dept Stat, State Coll, PA USA

Recommended Citation:
Reich, Brian J.,Shaby, Benjamin A.. A Spatial Markov Model for Climate Extremes[J]. JOURNAL OF COMPUTATIONAL AND GRAPHICAL STATISTICS,2019-01-01,28(1):117-126
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