globalchange  > 气候减缓与适应
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-018-08070-4
WOS记录号: WOS:000455473700004
论文题名:
Half a degree and rapid socioeconomic development matter for heatwave risk
作者: Russo, Simone1,2; Sillmann, Jana3; Sippel, Sebastian4; Barcikowska, Monika J.5; Ghisetti, Claudia1; Smid, Marek6; O'; Neill, Brian7
通讯作者: Russo, Simone
刊名: NATURE COMMUNICATIONS
ISSN: 2041-1723
出版年: 2019
卷: 10
语种: 英语
WOS关键词: CLIMATE EXTREMES ; TEMPERATURE ; ATTRIBUTION ; DROUGHT ; MODEL
WOS学科分类: Multidisciplinary Sciences
WOS研究方向: Science & Technology - Other Topics
英文摘要:

While every society can be exposed to heatwaves, some people suffer far less harm and recover more quickly than others from their occurrence. Here we project indicators of global heatwave risk associated with global warming of 1.5 and 2 degrees C, specified by the Paris agreement, for two future pathways of societal development representing low and high vulnerability conditions. Results suggest that at the 1.5 degrees C warming level, heatwave exposure in 2075 estimated for the population living in low development countries is expected to be greater than exposure at the warming level of 2 degrees C for the population living in very high development countries. A similar result holds for an illustrative heatwave risk index. However, the projected difference in heatwave exposure and the illustrative risk index for the low and very high development countries will be significantly reduced if global warming is stabilized below 1.5 degrees C, and in the presence of rapid social development.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/127875
Appears in Collections:气候减缓与适应

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作者单位: 1.European Commiss, Joint Res Ctr, I-21027 Ispra, Italy
2.Inst Environm Protect & Res ISPRA, I-00144 Rome, Italy
3.Ctr Int Climate & Environm Res CICERO, Pb 1129 Blindern, N-0318 Oslo, Norway
4.Norwegian Inst Bioecon Res, N-1431 As, Norway
5.Environm Def Fund, New York, NY 10010 USA
6.Univ Nova Lisboa, NOVA IMS, P-1069061 Lisbon, PT, Portugal
7.Univ Denver, Denver, CO 80208 USA

Recommended Citation:
Russo, Simone,Sillmann, Jana,Sippel, Sebastian,et al. Half a degree and rapid socioeconomic development matter for heatwave risk[J]. NATURE COMMUNICATIONS,2019-01-01,10
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