globalchange  > 气候减缓与适应
DOI: 10.1108/IJCCSM-04-2017-0089
WOS记录号: WOS:000454506700007
论文题名:
Stern review on the economics of climate change: implications for Bangladesh
作者: Roy, Apurba1; Haider, Mohammed Ziaul2
通讯作者: Roy, Apurba
刊名: INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATE CHANGE STRATEGIES AND MANAGEMENT
ISSN: 1756-8692
EISSN: 1756-8706
出版年: 2019
卷: 11, 期:1, 页码:100-117
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Bangladesh ; Climate change ; Economic development ; Coastal zone ; Stern review
WOS关键词: AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION ; CHANGE PERCEPTION ; TOURISM INDUSTRY ; IMPACTS ; ADAPTATION ; AFRICA ; GROWTH ; VULNERABILITY ; VARIABILITY ; SYSTEMS
WOS学科分类: Environmental Studies
WOS研究方向: Environmental Sciences & Ecology
英文摘要:

Purpose The purpose of this study is to investigate the impact of climate change on economic development in Bangladesh. More specifically, the research aims to figure out the influence of climate change on gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate related to different sectors such as agriculture, forest, water, health and infrastructure. It also attempts to explore the effect of climate change on the coastal economy of Bangladesh. Design/methodology/approach A set of statistical and econometric techniques, including descriptive and correlation analysis and time series regression model, was applied to address the objective of the research. Sector-wise time series economic data were collected from the World Bank for the period between 1971 and 2013. Climate data were received from the Bangladesh Agricultural Research Council online database for the period between 1948 and 2013. Findings The results from the statistical analysis show that climate variables such as temperature and rainfall have changed between 1948 and 2013 in the context of Bangladesh. The econometric regression analysis demonstrates that an increase by 1 degrees C of annual mean temperature leads to a decrease in the GDP growth rate by 0.44 per cent on average, which is statistically significant at the 5 per cent level. On the other hand, the estimated coefficients of agriculture, industry, services, urbanization and export are positively associated with GDP growth rate, and these are statistically significant at the 1 per cent level. Sector-wise correlation analysis provides statistical evidence that climate change is negatively associated with various sectors, such as agriculture, forest, human health and arable land. In contrast, it has a positive relation to water access and electricity consumption. Analysis of coastal regions shows that climate change negatively affects the local economic sectors of the coastal zone of the country. Originality/value Although this study has received significant insight from the world-renowned research publication "The Economics of Climate Change: The Stern Review", there is a dearth of research on the economic impact of climate change in the context of Bangladesh. The findings of the paper provide deep insight into and comprehensive views of policy makers on the impact of climate change on economic growth and various sectors in Bangladesh.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/127899
Appears in Collections:气候减缓与适应

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作者单位: 1.Univ Barisal, Dept Econ, Barisal, Bangladesh
2.Khulna Univ, Econ Discipline, Khulna, Bangladesh

Recommended Citation:
Roy, Apurba,Haider, Mohammed Ziaul. Stern review on the economics of climate change: implications for Bangladesh[J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATE CHANGE STRATEGIES AND MANAGEMENT,2019-01-01,11(1):100-117
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