globalchange  > 气候减缓与适应
DOI: 10.1002/hyp.13331
WOS记录号: WOS:000456206300005
论文题名:
Separating climate change and human contributions to variations in streamflow and its components using eight time-trend methods
作者: Zhang, Ling1; Nan, Zhuotong2,3; Wang, Weizhen1; Ren, Dong4; Zhao, Yanbo1; Wu, Xiaobo5
通讯作者: Zhang, Ling
刊名: HYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES
ISSN: 0885-6087
EISSN: 1099-1085
出版年: 2019
卷: 33, 期:3, 页码:383-394
语种: 英语
英文关键词: baseflow ; Budyko framework ; climate change ; Heihe River Basin ; human activities ; streamflow ; surface run-off ; time-trend method
WOS关键词: LAND-USE CHANGE ; HEIHE RIVER-BASIN ; HYDROLOGICAL RESPONSES ; LOESS PLATEAU ; CHANGE SCENARIOS ; MIDDLE REACHES ; CHANGE IMPACTS ; COVER CHANGE ; VARIABILITY ; CATCHMENT
WOS学科分类: Water Resources
WOS研究方向: Water Resources
英文摘要:

Separating impacts of human activities and climate change on hydrology is essential for watershed and ecosystem management. Many previous studies have focused on the impacts on total streamflow, however, with little attentions paid to its components (i.e., baseflow and surface run-off). This study distinguished the contributions of climate change and human activities to the variations in streamflow, baseflow, and surface run-off in the upstream area of the Heihe River Basin, a typical inland river basin in northwest China, by using eight different forms of time-trend methods. The isolated contributions to streamflow variation were also compared with those obtained by two Budyko-based approaches. Our results showed that the time-trend methods consistently estimated positive contributions of climate variability and human activities to the increases in streamflow and its components but with obviously varying magnitudes. With regard to streamflow, the time-trend method double-mass-curve-Wei, with a physical basis, produced a reasonable smaller contribution of human activities than climate changes, inconsistent with the Budyko-based approaches. However, all the other time-trend methods led to contrary results. The contributions to baseflow variation diverged more significantly than those to streamflow and surface run-off, ranging from 24% to 92% for human activities and from 8% to 76% for climate variability. In terms of surface run-off, most of the time-trend approaches produced smaller contributions of human activities (ranging from 21% to 49%) than climate change. The uncertainties associated with the various time-trend approaches and the baseflow separation algorithm were revealed and discussed, along with some recommendations for future work.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/128244
Appears in Collections:气候减缓与适应

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作者单位: 1.Chinese Acad Sci, Northwest Inst Ecoenvironm & Resources, Key Lab Remote Sensing Gansu Prov, Lanzhou 730000, Gansu, Peoples R China
2.Nanjing Normal Univ, Minist Educ, Key Lab Virtual Geog Environm, Nanjing, Jiangsu, Peoples R China
3.Jiangsu Ctr Collaborat Innovat Geog Informat Reso, Nanjing, Jiangsu, Peoples R China
4.Hydrol Water Resources Bur Gansu Prov, Lanzhou, Gansu, Peoples R China
5.Sichuan Agr Univ, Coll Resources, Chengdu, Sichuan, Peoples R China

Recommended Citation:
Zhang, Ling,Nan, Zhuotong,Wang, Weizhen,et al. Separating climate change and human contributions to variations in streamflow and its components using eight time-trend methods[J]. HYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES,2019-01-01,33(3):383-394
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