globalchange  > 气候减缓与适应
DOI: 10.1007/s00227-018-3462-4
WOS记录号: WOS:000455276200003
论文题名:
Predicting the performance of cosmopolitan species: dynamic energy budget model skill drops across large spatial scales
作者: Monaco, Cristian J.1,6; Porporato, Erika M. D.2; Lathlean, Justin A.3; Tagliarolo, Morgana1,4; Sara, Gianluca5; McQuaid, Christopher D.1
通讯作者: Monaco, Cristian J.
刊名: MARINE BIOLOGY
ISSN: 0025-3162
EISSN: 1432-1793
出版年: 2019
卷: 166, 期:2
语种: 英语
WOS关键词: MYTILUS-EDULIS ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; PERNA-PERNA ; ATTACHMENT STRENGTH ; LOCAL ADAPTATION ; THERMAL-STRESS ; WAVE EXPOSURE ; BLUE MUSSEL ; GROWTH ; TEMPERATURE
WOS学科分类: Marine & Freshwater Biology
WOS研究方向: Marine & Freshwater Biology
英文摘要:

Individual-based models are increasingly used by marine ecologists to predict species responses to environmental change on a mechanistic basis. Dynamic Energy Budget (DEB) models allow the simulation of physiological processes (maintenance, growth, reproduction) in response to variability in environmental drivers. High levels of computational capacity and remote-sensing technologies provide an opportunity to apply existing DEB models across global spatial scales. To do so, however, we must first test the assumption of stationarity, i.e., that parameter values estimated for populations in one location/time are valid for populations elsewhere. Using a validated DEB model parameterized for the cosmopolitan intertidal mussel Mytilus galloprovincialis, we ran growth simulations for native, Mediterranean Sea, populations and non-native, South African populations. The model performed well for native populations, but overestimated growth for non-native ones. Overestimations suggest that: (1) unaccounted variables may keep the physiological performance of non-native M. galloprovincialis in check, and/or (2) phenotypic plasticity or local adaptation could modulate responses under different environmental conditions. The study shows that stationary mechanistic models that aim to describe dynamics in complex physiological processes should be treated carefully when implemented across large spatial scales. Instead, we suggest placing the necessary effort into identifying the nuances that result in non-stationarity and explicitly accounting for them in geographic-scale mechanistic models.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/128380
Appears in Collections:气候减缓与适应

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作者单位: 1.Rhodes Univ, Dept Zool & Entomol, ZA-6140 Grahamstown, South Africa
2.Ca Foscari Univ Venice, Dept Environm Sci Informat & Stat, I-30170 Venice Mestre, Italy
3.Queens Univ Belfast, Sch Biol Sci, Belfast BT7 1NN, Antrim, North Ireland
4.IFREMER, UG, CNRS, UMSR LEEISA, Cayenne, French Guiana
5.Univ Palermo, Dipartimento Sci Terra & Mare, I-90128 Palermo, Italy
6.Univ Adelaide, Sch Biol Sci, Southern Seas Ecol Labs, Adelaide, SA 5005, Australia

Recommended Citation:
Monaco, Cristian J.,Porporato, Erika M. D.,Lathlean, Justin A.,et al. Predicting the performance of cosmopolitan species: dynamic energy budget model skill drops across large spatial scales[J]. MARINE BIOLOGY,2019-01-01,166(2)
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