globalchange  > 气候减缓与适应
DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0437.1
WOS记录号: WOS:000455575000001
论文题名:
Changes in the MJO under Greenhouse Gas-Induced Warming in CMIP5 Models
作者: Rushley, Stephanie S.1; Kim, Daehyun1; Adames, Angel F.2
通讯作者: Kim, Daehyun
刊名: JOURNAL OF CLIMATE
ISSN: 0894-8755
EISSN: 1520-0442
出版年: 2019
卷: 32, 期:3, 页码:803-821
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Dynamics ; Madden-Julian oscillation ; Climate change
WOS关键词: MADDEN-JULIAN OSCILLATION ; TROPICAL INTRASEASONAL VARIABILITY ; MOIST STATIC ENERGY ; MARITIME CONTINENT ; VERTICAL STRUCTURE ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; BASIC-STATE ; WATER-VAPOR ; PART I ; PRECIPITATION
WOS学科分类: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
英文摘要:

This study investigates changes to the Madden-Julian oscillation (MJO) in response to greenhouse gas-induced warming during the twenty-first century. Changes in the MJO's amplitude, phase speed, and zonal scale are examined in five models from phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) that demonstrate superior MJO characteristics. Under warming, the CMIP5 models exhibit a robust increase in the spectral power of planetary-scale, intraseasonal, eastward-propagating (MJO) precipitation anomalies (similar to 10.9% K-1). The amplification of MJO variability is accompanied by an increase of the spectral power of the corresponding westward-traveling waves at a similar rate. This suggests that enhanced MJO variability in a warmer climate is likely caused by enhanced background tropical precipitation variability, not by changes in the MJO's stability. All models examined show an increase in the MJO's phase speed (1.8% K-1-4.5% K-1) and a decrease in the MJO's zonal wavenumber (1.0% K-1-3.8% K-1). Using a linear moisture mode framework, this study tests the theory-predicted phase speed changes against the simulated phase speed changes. It is found that the MJO's acceleration in a warmer climate is a result of enhanced horizontal moisture advection by the steepening of the mean meridional moisture gradient and the decrease in zonal wavenumber, which is partially offset by the lengthening of the convective moisture adjustment time scale and the increase in gross dry stability. While the ability of the linear moisture mode framework to explain MJO phase speed changes is model dependent, the theory can accurately predict the phase speed changes in the model ensemble.


Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/128643
Appears in Collections:气候减缓与适应

Files in This Item:

There are no files associated with this item.


作者单位: 1.Univ Washington, Dept Atmospher Sci, Seattle, WA 98195 USA
2.Univ Michigan, Dept Climate & Space Sci & Engn, Ann Arbor, MI 48109 USA

Recommended Citation:
Rushley, Stephanie S.,Kim, Daehyun,Adames, Angel F.. Changes in the MJO under Greenhouse Gas-Induced Warming in CMIP5 Models[J]. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE,2019-01-01,32(3):803-821
Service
Recommend this item
Sava as my favorate item
Show this item's statistics
Export Endnote File
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[Rushley, Stephanie S.]'s Articles
[Kim, Daehyun]'s Articles
[Adames, Angel F.]'s Articles
百度学术
Similar articles in Baidu Scholar
[Rushley, Stephanie S.]'s Articles
[Kim, Daehyun]'s Articles
[Adames, Angel F.]'s Articles
CSDL cross search
Similar articles in CSDL Cross Search
[Rushley, Stephanie S.]‘s Articles
[Kim, Daehyun]‘s Articles
[Adames, Angel F.]‘s Articles
Related Copyright Policies
Null
收藏/分享
所有评论 (0)
暂无评论
 

Items in IR are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.