globalchange  > 气候减缓与适应
DOI: 10.3390/w11020379
WOS记录号: WOS:000460899600198
论文题名:
Recent Precipitation Trends and Floods in the Colombian Andes
作者: Avila, Alvaro1,2; Cardona Guerrero, Faisury1; Carvajal Escobar, Yesid1; Justino, Flavio2
通讯作者: Avila, Alvaro ; Carvajal Escobar, Yesid
刊名: WATER
ISSN: 2073-4441
出版年: 2019
卷: 11, 期:2
语种: 英语
英文关键词: climate change ; the Cauca River ; climate variability ; ENSO ; extreme rainfall ; trends
WOS关键词: NORTHERN SOUTH-AMERICA ; HEAVY PRECIPITATION ; CLIMATE EXTREMES ; RIVER-BASIN ; VARIABILITY ; RAINFALL ; INDEXES ; TEMPERATURE ; EVENTS ; VULNERABILITY
WOS学科分类: Water Resources
WOS研究方向: Water Resources
英文摘要:

This study aims to identify spatial and temporal precipitation trends by analyzing eight extreme climate indices of rainfall in the High Basin of the Cauca River in Southwestern Colombia from 1970 to 2013. The relation between historical floods and El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is also analyzed. Results indicate that in general, the reduction of precipitation, especially in the center of the basin with negative annual and seasonal trends in intensity indices, namely, the annual maximum 1-day precipitation amount (RX1day) and annual maximum 5-day precipitation amount (RX5day). Sixty-four percentage of the stations exhibit an increasing trend in September-October-November in the consecutive dry days. In December-January-February interval, positive trends in most of the stations is noted for total precipitation and for the number of wet days with rainfall greater than or equal to 1 mm. The findings also show that sea surface temperature (SST) in the equatorial Pacific is statistically correlated (r) with indices of extreme precipitation (r -0.40). However, the effect of ENSO is evident with a time lag of 2-3 months. These results are relevant for forecasting floods on a regional scale, since changes in SST of the equatorial Pacific may take place 2-3 months ahead of the basin inundation. Our results contribute to the understanding of extreme rainfall events, hydrological hazard forecasts and climate variability in the Colombian Andes.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/128885
Appears in Collections:气候减缓与适应

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作者单位: 1.Univ Valle, Res Grp Water Resources Engn & Soil IREHISA, Cali 76001, Valle Del Cauca, Colombia
2.Univ Fed Vicosa, Dept Agr Engn, BR-36570900 Vicosa, MG, Brazil

Recommended Citation:
Avila, Alvaro,Cardona Guerrero, Faisury,Carvajal Escobar, Yesid,et al. Recent Precipitation Trends and Floods in the Colombian Andes[J]. WATER,2019-01-01,11(2)
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