globalchange  > 气候减缓与适应
DOI: 10.1002/joc.5858
WOS记录号: WOS:000459665000028
论文题名:
Assessment of climate change for extreme precipitation indices: A case study from the central United States
作者: Rahmani, Vahid1; Harrington, John2
通讯作者: Rahmani, Vahid
刊名: INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY
ISSN: 0899-8418
EISSN: 1097-0088
出版年: 2019
卷: 39, 期:2, 页码:1013-1025
语种: 英语
英文关键词: agriculture ; central United States ; dry days ; extreme precipitation ; flooding ; Kansas ; spatio-temporal trend ; U ; S ; Great Plains
WOS关键词: GREAT-PLAINS ; TRENDS ; DROUGHT ; EVENTS ; DURATION ; RAINFALL ; KANSAS ; TEMPERATURE ; VARIABILITY ; RESERVOIRS
WOS学科分类: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
英文摘要:

Five extreme precipitation indicators were calculated on an annual basis for 1890 through 2013 and analysed to determine spatial patterns and temporal trends in the frequency and magnitude of observed extreme precipitation events in Kansas located in the central United States. Indicators were selected from the list of the World Meteorological Organization-Commission for Climatology (WMO-CCL) and the Research Programme on Climate Variability and Predictability (CLIVAR). The indicators included the number of days with precipitation greater than or equal to 10 mm/day (R10), maximum number of consecutive dry days (CDD; days with precipitation lower that 1 mm), maximum 5-day precipitation total (R5D), and simple daily intensity index (SDII) which is the annual precipitation total divided by number of days with precipitation greater than or equal to 1 mm, and the fraction of annual total precipitation due to events exceeding the 95th percentile (R95T) based on the period 1961-1990. Positive trends in the results were found for a majority of stations for R10, R5D, SDII, and R95T. Consecutive dry days was the only index that had a negative trend at a majority of stations. Spatial pattern analysis indicates greater changes in frequencies and magnitudes for eastern Kansas. Results from this study highlight observed climate shifts in precipitation patterns with a tendency towards greater and more frequent extreme precipitation in eastern Kansas and a tendency towards drier conditions in western Kansas. These hydroclimatic adjustments can produce costly impacts in areas that include flood management, hydraulic structures, water availability throughout the year, agricultural production, ecosystems, and human health.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/129047
Appears in Collections:气候减缓与适应

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作者单位: 1.Kansas State Univ, Dept Biol & Agr Engn, 1016 Seaton Hall,920 N 17th St, Manhattan, KS 66506 USA
2.Kansas State Univ, Dept Geog, Manhattan, KS 66506 USA

Recommended Citation:
Rahmani, Vahid,Harrington, John. Assessment of climate change for extreme precipitation indices: A case study from the central United States[J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY,2019-01-01,39(2):1013-1025
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