globalchange  > 气候减缓与适应
DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2018.10.016
WOS记录号: WOS:000457509100036
论文题名:
Drivers of change and adaptation pathways of agricultural systems facing increased salinity intrusion in coastal areas of the Mekong and Red River deltas in Vietnam
作者: Minh Tu Nguyen1; Renaud, Fabrice G.1,2; Sebesvari, Zita1
通讯作者: Minh Tu Nguyen
刊名: ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & POLICY
ISSN: 1462-9011
EISSN: 1873-6416
出版年: 2019
卷: 92, 页码:331-348
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Complex adaptive systems ; Drivers of change ; Adaptation pathways ; Salinity intrusion ; Vietnam ; Lock-in effects
WOS关键词: LAND-COVER CHANGE ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; REGIME SHIFTS ; RESILIENCE ; DYNAMICS ; IMPACT ; VULNERABILITY ; WATER
WOS学科分类: Environmental Sciences
WOS研究方向: Environmental Sciences & Ecology
英文摘要:

Agricultural systems are increasingly considered complex adaptive systems. They are dependent on the integrated nature of biophysical and social sub-systems, continuously adapt to changing conditions and often display non-linear responses to various drivers of change at multiple scales. This research applied the lens of complex adaptive systems theory to analyze current and historical drivers of change and adaptation pathways of agricultural systems to increased salinity intrusion in coastal areas of the Red River and Mekong deltas in Vietnam since 1975, The analysis is based on 27 in-depth interviews with officials of local and national authorities as well as 198 semi-structured interviews and 11 focus group discussions conducted with farmers along three salinity transects in both deltas in 2015-2016. The results show that a dynamic interplay and feedback of various drivers of change such as policy intervention, farmers' desire for profit maximization, changing salinity conditions, and technological development at different levels of the deltaic social-ecological system have shaped the changes and adaptations in agricultural systems over the last decades. In response to increased salinity intrusion, as exemplified by the historic salinity levels recorded in the Mekong Delta in 2015-2016, various adaptation options have been considered. These include adaptations that would lock-in agricultural production in particular systems or constrain changes in others, which is potentially problematic in light of the high uncertainty related to future changes. The study recognizes the need to apply both incremental and transformative changes and select adaptation pathways which allow for continuous change or that are reversible in order to avoid lock-ins and address future challenges. Additionally, attention should be drawn to interactions and feedbacks in future changes within and across adaptation pathways in order to prevent further increases in salinity intrusion and lock-in effects in agricultural systems within the deltas.


Citation statistics:
被引频次[WOS]:38   [查看WOS记录]     [查看WOS中相关记录]
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/129226
Appears in Collections:气候减缓与适应

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作者单位: 1.United Nations Univ, Inst Environm & Human Secur EHS, Pl Vereinten Nationen 1, D-53113 Bonn, Germany
2.Univ Glasgow, Sch Interdisciplinary Studies, Rutherford McCown Bldg, Dumfries DG1 4ZL, Scotland

Recommended Citation:
Minh Tu Nguyen,Renaud, Fabrice G.,Sebesvari, Zita. Drivers of change and adaptation pathways of agricultural systems facing increased salinity intrusion in coastal areas of the Mekong and Red River deltas in Vietnam[J]. ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & POLICY,2019-01-01,92:331-348
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