globalchange  > 气候减缓与适应
DOI: 10.1016/j.ecoleng.2018.12.019
WOS记录号: WOS:000455632500042
论文题名:
Climate change impacts on ecologically relevant hydrological indicators in three catchments in three European ecoregions
作者: Kiesel, Jens1,2; Gericke, Andreas1; Rathjens, Hendrik3; Wetzig, Annett1; Kakouei, Karan1,4; Jaehnig, Sonja C.1; Fohrer, Nicola2
通讯作者: Kiesel, Jens
刊名: ECOLOGICAL ENGINEERING
ISSN: 0925-8574
EISSN: 1872-6992
出版年: 2019
卷: 127, 页码:404-416
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Climate change ; EURO-CORDEX ; Uncertainty ; Prediction ; Hydrological indicators ; Indicators of hydrologic alteration (IHA)
WOS关键词: BIAS CORRECTION ; CALIBRATION CRITERIA ; UNCERTAINTY ; SIMULATIONS ; CORDEX
WOS学科分类: Ecology ; Engineering, Environmental ; Environmental Sciences
WOS研究方向: Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Engineering
英文摘要:

Freshwater species are adapted to and depend on various discharge conditions, such as 32 indicators of hydrologic alteration (IHA). Knowing how these indicators will be altered under climate change is essential for predicting species response and to develop mitigation concepts. The simulation of IHA under climate change is subject to considerable uncertainties which should be considered to obtain credible and robust predictions. Therefore, we investigated the major uncertainties inherent in climate change data and processing: general circulation model (GCM) and regional climate model (RCM) choice, representative concentration pathway (RCP) scenario, bias correction (BC) method, all within three mesoscale catchments in the European ecoregions: Central Plains, Central Highlands, and Alpine. Highest uncertainties were caused by the GCM and RCM choice, followed by the type of BC and the RCP. For the prediction, we reduced these uncertainties tailored to the ideal depiction of the IHA in each ecoregion. Together with a significance test, this enabled a robust depiction of the change in IHA for two future time periods. We found diverging changes within the ecoregions, caused by the complex interaction between precipitation, temperature and the governing catchment hydrological processes. The results provide an important basis for further impact research, especially for ecological freshwater studies.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/129356
Appears in Collections:气候减缓与适应

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作者单位: 1.Leibniz Inst Freshwater Ecol & Inland Fisheries I, Dept Ecosyst Res, Justus von Liebig Str 7, D-12489 Berlin, Germany
2.Christian Albrechts Univ Kiel, Inst Nat Resource Conservat, Dept Hydrol & Water Resources Management, Kiel, Germany
3.Stone Environm Inc, 535 Stone Cutters Way, Montpelier, VT 05602 USA
4.Free Univ Berlin, Inst Biol, Berlin, Germany

Recommended Citation:
Kiesel, Jens,Gericke, Andreas,Rathjens, Hendrik,et al. Climate change impacts on ecologically relevant hydrological indicators in three catchments in three European ecoregions[J]. ECOLOGICAL ENGINEERING,2019-01-01,127:404-416
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