globalchange  > 气候变化与战略
DOI: 10.1016/j.jag.2018.10.001
WOS记录号: WOS:000449126800028
论文题名:
Hybrid spatiotemporal simulation of future changes in open wetlands: A study of the Abitibi-Temiscamingue region, Quebec, Canada
作者: Tine, Mariana1; Perez, Liliana1; Molowny-Horas, Roberto2
通讯作者: Perez, Liliana
刊名: INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF APPLIED EARTH OBSERVATION AND GEOINFORMATION
ISSN: 0303-2434
出版年: 2019
卷: 74, 页码:302-313
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Spatiotemporal modelling ; Open wetlands ; Multi-objective optimization ; Logistic regression ; Markov-chain
WOS关键词: CELLULAR-AUTOMATA ; LAND-USE ; LOGISTIC-REGRESSION ; BOREAL FOREST ; ACCURACY ASSESSMENT ; URBAN EXPANSION ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; MARKOV-CHAIN ; MODELS ; VALIDATION
WOS学科分类: Remote Sensing
WOS研究方向: Remote Sensing
英文摘要:

Among the most productive ecosystems around the world, wetlands support a wide range of biodiversity such as waterfowl, fish, amphibians, plants and many other species. They also provide ecosystem services that play important roles in relation to nutrient cycling, climate mitigation and adaptation, as well as food security. In this research, we examined and projected the spatiotemporal trends of change in open wetlands by coupling logistic regression, Markov chain methods and a multi-objective land allocation model into a hybrid geosimulation model. To study the changes in open wetlands we used multi-temporal land cover information interpreted from LANDSAT images (1985, 1995, and 2005). We predicted future spatial distributions of open wetlands in the administrative region of Abitibi-Temiscamingue, Quebec, Canada for 2015, 2025, 2035, 2045 and 2055. A comparison and assessment of the model's outcomes were performed using map-comparison techniques as well as landscape metrics. Change analysis between 1985 and 2005 showed an increase of about 63% in open wetlands, while simulation results indicated that this tendency would persist into 2055 with a continuous augmentation of open wetlands in the region. The spatial distribution of predicted trends in open wetlands could provide support to local biodiversity assessments, management and conservation planning of the open wetlands in Quebec, Canada.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/129498
Appears in Collections:气候变化与战略

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作者单位: 1.Univ Montreal, Dept Geog, Lab Environm Geosimulat LEDGE, Pavillon 520,Chemin Cote St Catherine, Montreal, PQ H2V 2B8, Canada
2.CREAF, Cerdanyola Del Valles 08193, Spain

Recommended Citation:
Tine, Mariana,Perez, Liliana,Molowny-Horas, Roberto. Hybrid spatiotemporal simulation of future changes in open wetlands: A study of the Abitibi-Temiscamingue region, Quebec, Canada[J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF APPLIED EARTH OBSERVATION AND GEOINFORMATION,2019-01-01,74:302-313
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