globalchange  > 气候减缓与适应
DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.09.309
WOS记录号: WOS:000447871400087
论文题名:
Linking global climate change to local water availability: Limitations and prospects for a tropical mountain watershed
作者: Gonzalez-Zeas, D.1,2,3; Erazo, B.2,5; Lloret, P.2; De Bievre, B.3; Steinschneider, S.4; Dangles, O.1
通讯作者: Gonzalez-Zeas, D.
刊名: SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT
ISSN: 0048-9697
EISSN: 1879-1026
出版年: 2019
卷: 650, 页码:2577-2586
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Climate change ; Water availability ; Water uses ; Climatic model bias ; Quito ; Tropical mountains
WOS关键词: BIAS CORRECTION ; RESOURCES MANAGEMENT ; HYDROLOGICAL MODELS ; WEATHER GENERATOR ; CHANGE IMPACT ; PRECIPITATION ; SCALE ; UNCERTAINTIES ; SIMULATIONS ; RUNOFF
WOS学科分类: Environmental Sciences
WOS研究方向: Environmental Sciences & Ecology
英文摘要:

Bridging the gap between the predictions of coarse-scale climate models and the fine-scale climatic reality is a key issue of hydrological research and water management. While many advances have been realized in developed countries, the situation is contrastingly different in most tropical regions where we still lack information on potential discrepancies between measured and modeled climatic conditions. Consequently, water managers in these regions often rely on non-academic expertise to help them plan their future strategies. This issue is particularly alarming in tropical mountainous areas where water demand is increasing rapidly and climate change is expected to have severe impacts. In this article, we addressed this issue by evaluating the limitations and prospects in using regional climate models for evaluating the impact of climate change on water availability in a watershed that provides Quito, the capital of Ecuador, with about 30% of its current water needs. In particular, we quantified the temporal and spatial discrepancies between predicted and observed precipitation and temperature, and explored underlying mechanisms at play. Our results provide a strong critique of the inappropriate use of regional models to inform water planning with regard to adaptation strategies to face climate change. As a multidisciplinary group composed of hydrologists, ecologists and water managers, we then propose a framework to guide future climate change impact studies in tropical mountain watersheds where hydro-climatological data are scarce. (C) 2018 Published by Elsevier B.V.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/129749
Appears in Collections:气候减缓与适应

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作者单位: 1.Univ Montpellier, Inst Rech Dev, Ctr Ecol Fonct & Evolut, Univ Paul Valery Montpellier,EPHE,UMR 5175,CNRS, Montpellier, France
2.Empresa Publ Metropolitana Agua Potable & Saneami, Quito, Ecuador
3.Fondo Protecc Agua, Quito, Ecuador
4.Cornell Univ, Dept Biol & Environm Engn, Ithaca, NY USA
5.Univ Toulouse, UMR GET 5563, CNRS, IRD,OMP,CNES, 14 Ave Edouard Belin, F-31400 Toulouse, France

Recommended Citation:
Gonzalez-Zeas, D.,Erazo, B.,Lloret, P.,et al. Linking global climate change to local water availability: Limitations and prospects for a tropical mountain watershed[J]. SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT,2019-01-01,650:2577-2586
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