globalchange  > 气候减缓与适应
DOI: 10.3389/fevo.2019.00033
WOS记录号: WOS:000467397600001
论文题名:
Evaluating the Utility of Species Distribution Models in Informing Climate Change-Resilient Grassland Restoration Strategy
作者: Lyon, Nicholas J.1; Debinski, Diane M.1,2; Rangwala, Imtiaz3,4,5
通讯作者: Lyon, Nicholas J.
刊名: FRONTIERS IN ECOLOGY AND EVOLUTION
ISSN: 2296-701X
出版年: 2019
卷: 7
语种: 英语
英文关键词: seed-mixtures ; functional group ; climate change ; species distribution (niche) model ; bioclimatic envelope
WOS关键词: MAXENT
WOS学科分类: Ecology
WOS研究方向: Environmental Sciences & Ecology
英文摘要:

Tallgrass prairie ecosystems in North America are heavily degraded and require effective restoration strategies if prairie specialist taxa are to be preserved. One common management tool used to restore grassland is the application of a seed-mix of native prairie plant species. While this technique is effective in the short-term, it is critical that species' resilience to changing climate be evaluated when designing these mixes. By utilizing species distribution models (SDMs), species' bioclimatic envelopes-and thus the geographic area suitable for them-can be quantified and predicted under various future climate regimes, and current seed-mixes may be modified to include more climate resilient species or exclude more affected species. We evaluated climate response on plant functional groups to examine the generalizability of climate response among species of particular functional groups. We selected 14 prairie species representing the functional groups of cool-season and warm-season grasses, forbs, and legumes and we modeled their responses under both a moderate and more extreme predicted future. Our functional group "composite maps" show that warm-season grasses, forbs, and legumes responded similarly to other species within their functional group, while cool-season grasses showed less inter-species concordance. The value of functional group as a rough method for evaluating climate-resilience is therefore supported, but candidate cool-season grass species will require more individualized attention. This result suggests that seed-mix designers may be able to use species with more occurrence records to generate functional group-level predictions to assess the climate response of species for which there are prohibitively few occurrence records for modeling.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/129866
Appears in Collections:气候减缓与适应

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作者单位: 1.Iowa State Univ, Dept Ecol Evolut & Organismal Biol, Ames, IA 50011 USA
2.Montana State Univ, Dept Ecol, Bozeman, MT 59717 USA
3.Univ Colorado, Cooperat Inst Res Environm Sci, Boulder, CO 80309 USA
4.Earth Syst Res Lab NOAH, Phys Sci Div, Boulder, CO USA
5.North Cent Climate Sci Ctr, Dept Interior, Ft Collins, CO USA

Recommended Citation:
Lyon, Nicholas J.,Debinski, Diane M.,Rangwala, Imtiaz. Evaluating the Utility of Species Distribution Models in Informing Climate Change-Resilient Grassland Restoration Strategy[J]. FRONTIERS IN ECOLOGY AND EVOLUTION,2019-01-01,7
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