globalchange  > 气候减缓与适应
DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2018.12.045
WOS记录号: WOS:000458712500091
论文题名:
Are emission reduction policies effective under climate change conditions? A backcasting and exploratory scenario approach using the LEAP-OSeMOSYS Model
作者: Emodi, Nnaemeka Vincent1; Chaiechi, Taha1; Beg, A. B. M. Rabiul Alam2
通讯作者: Emodi, Nnaemeka Vincent
刊名: APPLIED ENERGY
ISSN: 0306-2619
EISSN: 1872-9118
出版年: 2019
卷: 236, 页码:1183-1217
语种: 英语
英文关键词: LEAP ; OSeMOSYS ; Australia ; Climate change ; Emission reduction policy ; Optimisation
WOS关键词: 100-PERCENT RENEWABLE ELECTRICITY ; WEST INTERCONNECTED SYSTEM ; POWER-GENERATION ; ENERGY-SYSTEMS ; TECHNOECONOMIC PERFORMANCE ; ALTERNATIVE SCENARIOS ; CHANGE IMPACTS ; SUPPLY-SYSTEM ; COST ; OPTIMIZATION
WOS学科分类: Energy & Fuels ; Engineering, Chemical
WOS研究方向: Energy & Fuels ; Engineering
英文摘要:

The power sector exercises huge impacts on global warming through emitted greenhouse gases (GHGs), with Australia not an exception. Over the years, the effectiveness of policies that have emerged to curtail GHGs emissions from electricity generation seem barely investigated. To address this gap, the study identifies potential energy reduction policies and climate change scenarios for the Australian power sector by applying approaches from combined backcasting and exploratory scenario. The Long-range Energy Alternative Planning (LEAP) system and its integrated Open Source Energy Modelling System (OSeMOSYS) was used for optimisation analysis. Results identified cost optimisation scenarios as a least-cost generation pathway with less climate change impact, followed by renewable energy target and energy productivity scenarios. Economic analysis shows that emission reduction policy will result in added cost to the economy, while carbon tax policies will yield economic benefit in installation cost, resource savings and environmental externalities reductions by 2050. The environmental analysis reveals that emission reduction policy will increase cumulative emissions, while future temperatures may double the emissions from the base case scenario. We conclude that future low-carbon pathways lie in clean energy substitutions and innovative energy policies, while global warming raises the need to switch to clean energy technologies early.


Citation statistics:
被引频次[WOS]:43   [查看WOS记录]     [查看WOS中相关记录]
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/129895
Appears in Collections:气候减缓与适应

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作者单位: 1.James Cook Univ, Div Trop Environm & Soc, Coll Business Law & Governance, Econ & Mkt Acad Grp, POB 6811, Cairns, Qld 4870, Australia
2.James Cook Univ, Div Trop Environm & Soc, Coll Business Law & Governance, Dept Econ, POB 6811, Townsville, Qld 4811, Australia

Recommended Citation:
Emodi, Nnaemeka Vincent,Chaiechi, Taha,Beg, A. B. M. Rabiul Alam. Are emission reduction policies effective under climate change conditions? A backcasting and exploratory scenario approach using the LEAP-OSeMOSYS Model[J]. APPLIED ENERGY,2019-01-01,236:1183-1217
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