globalchange  > 气候减缓与适应
DOI: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2018.11.026
WOS记录号: WOS:000456751200023
论文题名:
Dynamic and thermodynamic changes conducive to the increased occurrence of extreme spring fire weather over western Canada under possible anthropogenic climate change
作者: Tan, Xuezhi1,2; Chen, Shu3; Gan, Thian Yew2; Liu, Bingjun1; Chen, Xiaohong1
通讯作者: Tan, Xuezhi
刊名: AGRICULTURAL AND FOREST METEOROLOGY
ISSN: 0168-1923
EISSN: 1873-2240
出版年: 2019
卷: 265, 页码:269-279
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Dynamic changes ; Thermodynamic changes ; Anthropogenic climate change ; Extreme fire ; Western Canada
WOS关键词: WILDFIRE ; VARIABILITY ; ATTRIBUTION ; SENSITIVITY ; FREQUENCY ; PATTERNS ; AREA
WOS学科分类: Agronomy ; Forestry ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向: Agriculture ; Forestry ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
英文摘要:

On May 2016 an extreme large wildfire affected Fort McMurray of Canada, leading to the largest wildfire evacuation and the costliest natural disaster in Canadian history. This wildfire was caused by extremely warm and dry weather conditions in spring. Here we investigate thermodynamic and dynamic (atmospheric circulation) conditions, and teleconnections conducive to extreme wildfire climate of western Canada since 1871. Results show that the extreme wildfire was very likely an outcome of anthropogenic effects that increase the occurrence of a persistent upper ridge associated with a warm and dry weather over western Canada. Changes in dynamic conditions decreased temperature and increased precipitation, while changes in thermodynamic conditions increased temperature and decreased precipitation. Thus the observed increase in temperature and decrease in precipitation on 26 April-15 May over western Canada were caused by changes in thermodynamic conditions. Although the Pacific North American (PNA) pattern was teleconnected with the occurrence of certain synoptic circulation patterns over western Canada, changes in the occurrence of the synoptic circulation pattern associated with the extreme wildfire cannot be explained by increased occurrences of the positive phase of PNA. The El Nino-Southern Oscillation and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation have not been found to have contributed to wildfire weather in western Canada. The spring warming and drying trends since 1871 over western Canada cannot be attributed to changes in common teleconnections.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/129909
Appears in Collections:气候减缓与适应

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作者单位: 1.Sun Yat Sen Univ, Sch Civil Engn, Dept Water Sci & Engn, Guangzhou 510275, Guangdong, Peoples R China
2.Univ Alberta, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Edmonton, AB T6G 2W2, Canada
3.Wuhan Univ, State Key Lab Water Resources & Hydropower Engn S, Wuhan 430072, Hubei, Peoples R China

Recommended Citation:
Tan, Xuezhi,Chen, Shu,Gan, Thian Yew,et al. Dynamic and thermodynamic changes conducive to the increased occurrence of extreme spring fire weather over western Canada under possible anthropogenic climate change[J]. AGRICULTURAL AND FOREST METEOROLOGY,2019-01-01,265:269-279
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