globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.1029/2018GL081253
WOS记录号: WOS:000462072800070
论文题名:
Potential Increase in Hazard From Mediterranean Hurricane Activity With Global Warming
作者: Gonzalez-Aleman, Juan J.1; Pascale, Salvatore2,3; Gutierrez-Fernandez, Jesus1; Murakami, Hiroyuki3,4; Gaertner, Miguel A.5; Vecchi, Gabriel A.6,7
通讯作者: Gonzalez-Aleman, Juan J.
刊名: GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
ISSN: 0094-8276
EISSN: 1944-8007
出版年: 2019
卷: 46, 期:3, 页码:1754-1764
语种: 英语
WOS关键词: TROPICAL CYCLONE INTENSITY ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; PROJECTIONS ; SIMULATION ; MEDICANES
WOS学科分类: Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
WOS研究方向: Geology
英文摘要:

Mediterranean hurricanes (Medicanes) are intense cyclones that acquire tropical characteristics, associated with extreme winds and rainfall, thus posing a serious natural hazard to populated areas along Mediterranean coasts. Understanding how Medicanes will change with global warming remains, however, a challenge, because coarse resolution and/or the lack of atmosphere-ocean coupling limit the reliability of numerical simulations. Here we investigate the Medicanes' response to global warming using a recently developed 25-km global coupled climate model, which features a realistic representation of Medicanes in present climate conditions. It is found that despite a decrease in frequency, Medicanes potentially become more hazardous in the late century, lasting longer and producing stronger winds and rainfall. These changes are associated with a more robust hurricane-like structure and are mainly confined to autumn. Thus, continued anthropogenic warming will increase the risks associated with Medicanes even in an intermediate scenario (Representative Concentration Pathway, RCP4.5), with potential natural and socioeconomic consequences.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/130035
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.Univ Castilla La Mancha, Environm Sci Inst, Toledo, Spain
2.Princeton Univ, Atmospher & Ocean Sci Program, Princeton, NJ 08544 USA
3.NOAA, Geophys Fluid Dynam Lab, Princeton, NJ USA
4.Univ Corp Atmospher Res, Cooperat Programs Adv Earth Syst Sci, Boulder, CO USA
5.Univ Castilla La Mancha, Environm Sci Fac, Toledo, Spain
6.Princeton Univ, Dept Geosci, Princeton, NJ 08544 USA
7.Princeton Univ, Princeton Environm Inst, Princeton, NJ 08544 USA

Recommended Citation:
Gonzalez-Aleman, Juan J.,Pascale, Salvatore,Gutierrez-Fernandez, Jesus,et al. Potential Increase in Hazard From Mediterranean Hurricane Activity With Global Warming[J]. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,2019-01-01,46(3):1754-1764
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