globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1814297116
WOS记录号: WOS:000459074400011
论文题名:
Interpreting contemporary trends in atmospheric methane
作者: Turner, Alexander J.1; Frankenberg, Christian2,3; Kort, Eric A.4
通讯作者: Turner, Alexander J. ; Frankenberg, Christian ; Kort, Eric A.
刊名: PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA
ISSN: 0027-8424
出版年: 2019
卷: 116, 期:8, 页码:2805-2813
语种: 英语
英文关键词: methane trends ; greenhouse gas mitigation ; tropospheric oxidative capacity
WOS关键词: HIGH-SPATIAL-RESOLUTION ; CH4 EMISSIONS ; FOSSIL-FUEL ; ANTHROPOGENIC EMISSIONS ; SATELLITE-OBSERVATIONS ; SOURCE ATTRIBUTION ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; GAS-PRODUCTION ; GROWTH-RATE ; TANSO-FTS
WOS学科分类: Multidisciplinary Sciences
WOS研究方向: Science & Technology - Other Topics
英文摘要:

Atmospheric methane plays a major role in controlling climate, yet contemporary methane trends (19822017) have defied explanation with numerous, often conflicting, hypotheses proposed in the literature. Specifically, atmospheric observations of methane from 1982 to 2017 have exhibited periods of both increasing concentrations (from 1982 to 2000 and from 2007 to 2017) and stabilization (from 2000 to 2007). Explanations for the increases and stabilization have invoked changes in tropical wetlands, livestock, fossil fuels, biomass burning, and the methane sink. Contradictions in these hypotheses arise because our current observational network cannot unambiguously link recent methane variations to specific sources. This raises some fundamental questions: (i) What do we know about sources, sinks, and underlying processes driving observed trends in atmospheric methane? (ii) How will global methane respond to changes in anthropogenic emissions? And (iii), What future observations could help resolve changes in the methane budget? To address these questions, we discuss potential drivers of atmospheric methane abundances over the last four decades in light of various observational constraints as well as process-based knowledge. While uncertainties in the methane budget exist, they should not detract from the potential of methane emissions mitigation strategies. We show that net-zero cost emission reductions can lead to a declining atmospheric burden, but can take three decades to stabilize. Moving forward, we make recommendations for observations to better constrain contemporary trends in atmospheric methane and to provide mitigation support.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/130065
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.Univ Calif Berkeley, Dept Earth & Planetary Sci, Berkeley, CA 94720 USA
2.CALTECH, Div Geol & Planetary Sci, Pasadena, CA 91226 USA
3.CALTECH, Jet Prop Lab, 4800 Oak Grove Dr, Pasadena, CA 91109 USA
4.Univ Michigan, Climate & Space Sci & Engn, Ann Arbor, MI 48109 USA

Recommended Citation:
Turner, Alexander J.,Frankenberg, Christian,Kort, Eric A.. Interpreting contemporary trends in atmospheric methane[J]. PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA,2019-01-01,116(8):2805-2813
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