globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.10.201
WOS记录号: WOS:000454418500017
论文题名:
Evaluation of climate change impacts and adaptation strategies on rainfed rice production in Songkhram River Basin, Thailand
作者: Boonwichai, Siriwat1; Shrestha, Sangam1; Babel, Mukand S.1; Weesakul, Sutat1; Datta, Avishek2
通讯作者: Shrestha, Sangam
刊名: SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT
ISSN: 0048-9697
EISSN: 1879-1026
出版年: 2019
卷: 652, 页码:189-201
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Bottom-up approach ; Climate change ; DSSAT ; Rice production ; Top-down approach ; Thailand
WOS关键词: WATER-QUALITY ; HYDROLOGY ; YIELD ; MODEL
WOS学科分类: Environmental Sciences
WOS研究方向: Environmental Sciences & Ecology
英文摘要:

This study investigates rice yield and evaluates potential adaptation measures on field management practices for rainfed rice production under climate change scenarios in the Songkhram River Basin, Thailand. The top-down and bottom-up approaches are combined to evaluate the future climate conditions in the Songkhram River Basin and identify adaptation strategies respectively. An ensemble of four Regional Climate Models (RCMs) bias-corrected using the Quantile Mapping technique was used to project the future climate under two climate change scenarios (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5). The DSSAT crop simulation model was used to simulate rice yield and evaluate the impacts of climate change on rice yield, as well as the feasibility of four adaptation options, which were solicited from four hundred farmers through questionnaire surveys in the basin. The strategies include (i) change in planting date, (ii) change in fertiliser application date, (iii) change in fertiliser application dose, and (iv) supplying irrigation water. Based on the model results, future maximum and minimum temperatures are expected to increase by 2.8 and 3.2 degrees C respectively under RCP8.5 scenario for 2080s. Although annual rainfall may be unchanged, rainfall patterns will shift earlier in future. Evaluation of adaptation strategies suggest that supplying irrigation water under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios respectively are the best strategies to increase rice yield under climate change scenarios. Change in fertiliser application date and change in planting date can increase the future rice yield by 12 and 8%, respectively under RCP4.5 scenario for 2080s. Adjusting the fertiliser application dose may however reduce future rice yield. Although supplying irrigation water can aid the production of rainfed rice, other concerns such as the source of water are involved. The feasibility of adaptation actions would depend largely on available resources and mindset of farmers. Further work is warranted in exploring a combination of adaptation strategies and management plans to combat the adverse impacts of climate change. (C) 2018 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/130122
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.Asian Inst Technol, Water Engn & Management, POB 4, Klongluang 12120, Pathum Thani, Thailand
2.Asian Inst Technol, Agr Syst & Engn, POB 4, Klongluang 12120, Pathum Thani, Thailand

Recommended Citation:
Boonwichai, Siriwat,Shrestha, Sangam,Babel, Mukand S.,et al. Evaluation of climate change impacts and adaptation strategies on rainfed rice production in Songkhram River Basin, Thailand[J]. SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT,2019-01-01,652:189-201
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