globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.1002/wcc.571
WOS记录号: WOS:000458907600002
论文题名:
Indian summer monsoon: Extreme events, historical changes, and role of anthropogenic forcings
作者: Singh, Deepti1,2; Ghosh, Subimal3; Roxy, Mathew K.4,5; McDermid, Sonali6
通讯作者: Singh, Deepti
刊名: WILEY INTERDISCIPLINARY REVIEWS-CLIMATE CHANGE
ISSN: 1757-7780
EISSN: 1757-7799
出版年: 2019
卷: 10, 期:2
语种: 英语
英文关键词: anthropogenic forcings ; climate change attribution ; extreme events ; South Asian monsoon ; subseasonal variability
WOS关键词: SOUTH ASIAN MONSOON ; EARTH SYSTEM MODELS ; OCEAN-ATMOSPHERE PROCESSES ; WATER-RESOURCE MANAGEMENT ; FLASH-FLOODING STORM ; LOW-PRESSURE SYSTEMS ; LAND-SURFACE MODEL ; 26 JULY 2005 ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; INTRASEASONAL OSCILLATIONS
WOS学科分类: Environmental Studies ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向: Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
英文摘要:

The South Asian summer monsoon is a complex coupled human-natural system that poses unique challenges for understanding its evolution alongside increasing anthropogenic activities. Rapid and substantial changes in land-use, land-management and industrial activities over the subcontinent, and warming in the Indian Ocean, have influenced the South Asian summer monsoon. These might continue to be significant drivers in the near-term along with rising global greenhouse gas emissions. Deciphering the region's vulnerability to climate change requires an understanding of how these anthropogenic activities, acting on a range of spatial scales, have shaped the monsoon spatially and temporally. This review summarizes historical changes in monsoon rainfall characteristics, associated mechanisms, and the role of anthropogenic forcings, focusing on subseasonal variability and extreme events. Several studies have found intensified subseasonal extremes across parts of India and an increase in spatial variability of rainfall despite an overall weakening of seasonal rainfall in the monsoon core. However, understanding these changes remains challenging because of uncertainties in observations and climate models. The mechanisms and relative influences of various anthropogenic activities, particularly on subseasonal extremes, remain relatively underexplored. Large biases in the representation of relevant processes in global climate models limit the ability to attribute historical changes and make reliable projections. Nevertheless, recent advances in modeling these processes using higher-resolution modeling frameworks provide new tools to investigate the Indian summer monsoon's response to various anthropogenic forcings. There is an urgent need to understand how these forcings interact to shape climate variability and change in this vulnerable region. This article is categorized under: Paleoclimates and Current Trends > Earth System Behavior


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/130582
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.Washington State Univ, Sch Environm, Vancouver, WA 98686 USA
2.Columbia Univ, Lamont Doherty Earth Observ, New York, NY USA
3.Indian Inst Technol, Dept Civil Engn, Mumbai, Maharashtra, India
4.Indian Inst Trop Meteorol, Ctr Climate Change Res, Pune, Maharashtra, India
5.NOAA, Pacific Marine Environm Lab, 7600 Sand Point Way Ne, Seattle, WA 98115 USA
6.NYU, Dept Environm Studies, New York, NY USA

Recommended Citation:
Singh, Deepti,Ghosh, Subimal,Roxy, Mathew K.,et al. Indian summer monsoon: Extreme events, historical changes, and role of anthropogenic forcings[J]. WILEY INTERDISCIPLINARY REVIEWS-CLIMATE CHANGE,2019-01-01,10(2)
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