globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2018.05.019
WOS记录号: WOS:000465510500007
论文题名:
Climate policy vs. agricultural productivity shocks in a dynamic computable general equilibrium (CGE) modeling framework: The case of a developing economy
作者: Pradhan, Basanta K.1; Ghosh, Joydeep2
通讯作者: Pradhan, Basanta K.
刊名: ECONOMIC MODELLING
ISSN: 0264-9993
EISSN: 1873-6122
出版年: 2019
卷: 77, 页码:55-69
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Social cost of carbon ; Climate policy ; Agriculture ; CGE model ; India
WOS关键词: YIELD
WOS学科分类: Economics
WOS研究方向: Business & Economics
英文摘要:

The main objective of this paper is to compare the cost of climate policy consistent with the 2 degrees C global warming target (Paris Agreement target) with the cost of climate change induced agricultural productivity shocks, using a recursive dynamic CGE model for India. The social cost of carbon, in terms of loss in agriculture sector, is estimated to be about 2 percent of GDP, at zero rate of discount, under conservative forecasts of fall in agricultural productivity. In comparison, the cost of climate policy consistent with the Paris Agreement target of 2 degrees C is about 1 percent of GDP. Thus, there is a strong case for the adoption of ambitious climate policy in India, provided other countries also adhere to the same. Besides, revenues generated from the carbon tax and emission allowance could be a means to support the development and adoption of new energy and agricultural technologies, to increase social sector expenditure and to reduce abatement costs.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/130701
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.IEG, DPC, Delhi 110007, India
2.Inst Econ Modeling Studies, Delhi, India

Recommended Citation:
Pradhan, Basanta K.,Ghosh, Joydeep. Climate policy vs. agricultural productivity shocks in a dynamic computable general equilibrium (CGE) modeling framework: The case of a developing economy[J]. ECONOMIC MODELLING,2019-01-01,77:55-69
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