globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.1017/S0021859619000418
WOS记录号: WOS:000476742900001
论文题名:
Will farmers fully adapt to monsoonal climate change through technological developments? An analysis of rice and livestock production in Thailand
作者: Seo, S. N.
通讯作者: Seo, S. N.
刊名: JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURAL SCIENCE
ISSN: 0021-8596
EISSN: 1469-5146
出版年: 2019
卷: 157, 期:2, 页码:97-108
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Adaptation ; monsoon climate ; rice yield ; technological change ; Thailand agriculture
WOS关键词: STRUCTURAL RICARDIAN MODEL ; IMPACT ; YIELDS ; FLUCTUATIONS ; AGRICULTURE ; MANAGEMENT ; CATTLE ; WORLD ; INDIA
WOS学科分类: Agriculture, Multidisciplinary
WOS研究方向: Agriculture
英文摘要:

The current paper tackles a critical question in climate change literature of whether farmers will be able to fully adapt to monsoonal climate changes owing to technological developments. Making use of the climate, agricultural and social data of Thailand from 1900 to 2015, this paper estimates a technological change instrumental variable by the growth of the normalized rice yield per hectare of land. The estimation shows that 0.98 of the growth in rice yield can be attributed to technological changes while the rest is accounted for by climate, soils and social factors. In the second stage regressions with the technological change indicator, the paper estimates the normalized numbers of the six most important types of live animals in Thailand: goats, chickens, cattle, sheep, pigs and buffaloes. Over the time period studied, the number of each of these live animals has increased vastly, except for buffaloes. The second-stage regressions show that the growth is largely attributable to technological changes, but monsoonal climate variables such as normalized monsoon precipitation ratio and normalized monsoon temperature are not significant factors. The results indicate that the rate of technological changes is overwhelming the rate of climate change on agriculture in Thailand.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/130798
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: Muaebak Inst Global Warming Studies, Seoul, South Korea

Recommended Citation:
Seo, S. N.. Will farmers fully adapt to monsoonal climate change through technological developments? An analysis of rice and livestock production in Thailand[J]. JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURAL SCIENCE,2019-01-01,157(2):97-108
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