globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0505.1
WOS记录号: WOS:000473259700002
论文题名:
Northeast Atlantic Storm Activity and Its Uncertainty from the Late Nineteenth to the Twenty-First Century
作者: Krueger, Oliver; Feser, Frauke; Weisse, Ralf
通讯作者: Krueger, Oliver
刊名: JOURNAL OF CLIMATE
ISSN: 0894-8755
EISSN: 1520-0442
出版年: 2019
卷: 32, 期:6, 页码:1919-1931
语种: 英语
WOS关键词: ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION ; SCANDINAVIAN STORMINESS ; WINTER STORMINESS ; EUROPE ; TRENDS ; OSCILLATION ; REANALYSIS ; COASTAL ; NAO
WOS学科分类: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
英文摘要:

Geostrophic wind speeds calculated from mean sea level pressure readings are used to derive time series of northeast Atlantic storminess. The technique of geostrophic wind speed triangles provides relatively homogeneous long-term storm activity data and is thus suited for statistical analyses. This study makes use of historical air pressure data available from the International Surface Pressure Databank (ISPD) complemented with data from the Danish and Norwegian Meteorological Institutes. For the first time, the time series of northeast Atlantic storminess is extended until the most recent year available, that is, 2016. A multidecadal increasing trend in storm activity starting in the mid-1960s and lasting until the 1990s, whose high storminess levels are comparable to those found in the late nineteenth century, initiated debate over whether this would already be a sign of climate change. This study confirms that long-term storminess levels have returned to average values in recent years and that the multidecadal increase is part of an extended interdecadal oscillation. In addition, new storm activity uncertainty estimates were developed and novel insights into the connection with the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) are provided.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/130805
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: Helmholtz Zentrum Geesthacht, Inst Coastal Res, Geesthacht, Germany

Recommended Citation:
Krueger, Oliver,Feser, Frauke,Weisse, Ralf. Northeast Atlantic Storm Activity and Its Uncertainty from the Late Nineteenth to the Twenty-First Century[J]. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE,2019-01-01,32(6):1919-1931
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