globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.3103/S1068373919030014
WOS记录号: WOS:000466937400001
论文题名:
Changes in Indicators of Temperature Extremes in the 21st Century: Ensemble Projections for the Territory of Russia
作者: Khlebnikova, E. I.; Rudakova, Yu. L.; Sall'; , I. A.; Efimov, S. V.; Shkolnik, I. M.
通讯作者: Khlebnikova, E. I.
刊名: RUSSIAN METEOROLOGY AND HYDROLOGY
ISSN: 1068-3739
EISSN: 1934-8096
出版年: 2019
卷: 44, 期:3, 页码:159-168
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Climate change ; regional models ; extremes ; temperature regime ; extreme value distribution ; risks
WOS学科分类: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
英文摘要:

The study considers the problem of constructing a scenario forecast of changing climatic characteristics of air temperature extremes which are important for the current economy needs. Based on the numerous ensemble experiments with a high-resolution system of models, the probabilistic estimates of future changes in the applied indices of rare temperature extremes over Russia are obtained. Particular attention is given to the quantitative characteristics of uncertainty of the estimates obtained in the middle and the end of the 21st century. The important seasonal and regional features of changes in the analyzed extreme parameters are identified; they should be taken into account when adapting to climate changes at the regional level.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/130842
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: Voeikov Main Geophys Observ, Ul Karbysheva 7, St Petersburg 194021, Russia

Recommended Citation:
Khlebnikova, E. I.,Rudakova, Yu. L.,Sall',et al. Changes in Indicators of Temperature Extremes in the 21st Century: Ensemble Projections for the Territory of Russia[J]. RUSSIAN METEOROLOGY AND HYDROLOGY,2019-01-01,44(3):159-168
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