globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.1002/aps3.1230
WOS记录号: WOS:000461823400008
论文题名:
PhenoForecaster: A software package for the prediction of flowering phenology
作者: Park, Isaac1; Jones, Alex2; Mazer, Susan J.1
通讯作者: Park, Isaac
刊名: APPLICATIONS IN PLANT SCIENCES
ISSN: 2168-0450
出版年: 2019
卷: 7, 期:3
语种: 英语
英文关键词: bloom timing ; elastic net regularization ; flowering ; herbarium specimens ; phenoclimate models ; phenological models ; phenology
WOS关键词: HERBARIUM SPECIMENS ; FROST DAMAGE ; POLLINATION ; COMPETITION
WOS学科分类: Plant Sciences
WOS研究方向: Plant Sciences
英文摘要:

Premise of the Study Predicting the flowering times of angiosperm taxa is a goal of mounting importance in the face of future climate change, with applications not only in plant biology and ecology, but also horticulture, agriculture, and invasive species management. To date, no tool is available to facilitate predictions of flowering phenology using multivariate phenoclimatic models. Such a tool is needed by researchers and other stakeholders who need to predict phenological activity, but are unfamiliar with phenoclimate modeling techniques. PhenoForecaster allows users of any background to conduct species-specific phenological predictions using an intuitive graphical interface and provides an estimate of each prediction's accuracy. Methods and Results Elastic net regression techniques were used to develop species-specific models capable of predicting the flowering dates of 2320 angiosperm species. Conclusions PhenoForecaster is the first stand-alone package to make phenological modeling directly accessible to users without the need for in-depth phenological observations.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/131028
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.Univ Calif Santa Barbara, Dept Ecol Evolut & Marine Biol, Santa Barbara, CA 93106 USA
2.Univ Calif Santa Barbara, Dept Comp Sci, Santa Barbara, CA 93106 USA

Recommended Citation:
Park, Isaac,Jones, Alex,Mazer, Susan J.. PhenoForecaster: A software package for the prediction of flowering phenology[J]. APPLICATIONS IN PLANT SCIENCES,2019-01-01,7(3)
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