globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.1007/s11269-019-2198-3
WOS记录号: WOS:000460836100004
论文题名:
Anticipating the Future in Urban Water Management: an Assessment of Municipal Investment Decisions
作者: Pot, Wieke
通讯作者: Pot, Wieke
刊名: WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT
ISSN: 0920-4741
EISSN: 1573-1650
出版年: 2019
卷: 33, 期:4, 页码:1297-1313
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Forward-looking investment decisions ; Municipalities ; Future anticipation ; Urban water management ; Ageing infrastructure
WOS关键词: ADAPTIVE POLICY PATHWAYS ; UNCERTAINTY ; ADAPTATION ; GOVERNANCE ; FRAMEWORK ; STRATEGIES ; SYSTEMS ; WASTE
WOS学科分类: Engineering, Civil ; Water Resources
WOS研究方向: Engineering ; Water Resources
英文摘要:

Municipalities are confronted with future uncertainties when they need to take decisions about their ageing water infrastructure. Previous work that addressed future challenges of urban water management focused mainly on climate change. This article develops a comprehensive index for forward-looking decisions about urban water management, to assess the extent to which, and how, Dutch municipalities anticipate the future with their investment decisions on urban water infrastructure. Results are based on a systematic comparison of investment decisions of 40 Dutch municipalities (about 10% of the population). Findings show that: 1) the extent to which municipalities anticipate the future differs largely; 2) only half of the municipalities adopt a long time perspective; 3) there are no commonly applied robustness tests; 4) flexibility is not explicitly adopted; rather, different flexible measures are applied; and 5) a minority of municipalities develop strategic visions or scenarios for urban water management to support decisions. These results highlight important areas of attention for municipalities worldwide. First, the need to invest in ageing water infrastructure can be seized as an opportunity to establish futureproof urban water management. Furthermore, climate change should be integrated with other future uncertainties into water management decisions. Third, transboundary cooperation could potentially increase municipalities' capacity to address uncertain futures and enhance learning. And last, increasing the use of scenario analysis and envisioning could help municipalities to prepare for the future. The index provided can be used for ex ante development and ex post assessment of investment decisions, to increase municipalities' preparedness for the future.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/131104
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: Wageningen Univ & Res, Publ Adm & Policy Grp, Hollandseweg 1, NL-6706 KN Wageningen, Netherlands

Recommended Citation:
Pot, Wieke. Anticipating the Future in Urban Water Management: an Assessment of Municipal Investment Decisions[J]. WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT,2019-01-01,33(4):1297-1313
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