globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.1007/s11269-019-2186-7
WOS记录号: WOS:000460836100022
论文题名:
Analyzing the Impacts of Climate Change on Hydro-Environmental Conflict-Resolution Management
作者: Xu, Yuni1; Fu, Xiang1; Chu, Xuefeng2
通讯作者: Fu, Xiang
刊名: WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT
ISSN: 0920-4741
EISSN: 1573-1650
出版年: 2019
卷: 33, 期:4, 页码:1591-1607
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Conflict-resolution method ; Multi-objective optimization model ; Climate change ; Environmental protection ; Hydropower generation
WOS关键词: DECISION-MAKING ; SOCIAL CHOICE ; 3 GORGES ; RESERVOIR OPERATION ; MODEL ; DAMS ; FRAMEWORK ; GEZHOUBA ; ISSUES
WOS学科分类: Engineering, Civil ; Water Resources
WOS研究方向: Engineering ; Water Resources
英文摘要:

Conflict-resolution methods have been applied to water resources management to balance conflicting interests of stakeholders. Due to the climate change impacts on hydrologic processes, the strategy selections of conflict-resolution methods can be influenced, resulting in different selection rules for historical and future periods. This study aims to quantify the impacts of climate change on the strategy-selection rules of the conflict-resolution methods for better long-term strategic decision-making. The methodology of this study consists of climatic, hydrological, environmental and multi-objective optimization models, two fuzzy social choice methods (FSCMs) and four game-theoretical bargaining methods (GTBMs). The hydro-environmental conflict-resolution management in the Yangtze River of China is selected as the case study. The results show that the strategy selection of GTBMs is more stable and results in a better balance between hydropower and environmental objectives, compared to that of FSCMs. Moreover, considering climate change, under the appropriate environmental flow pattern, the stabilities of the strategy selections of FSCMs and GTBMs are slightly influenced, and the average satisfied degrees of both objectives obtained by FSCMs and GTBMs in the future period (2021-2080) are lower than those in the base period (1950-2012). The findings from this study provide guidance for hydro-environmental conflict-resolution management from a sustainable development perspective.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/131114
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.Wuhan Univ, State Key Lab Water Resources & Hydropower Engn S, Wuhan 430072, Hubei, Peoples R China
2.North Dakota State Univ, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Dept 2470, POB 6050, Fargo, ND 58108 USA

Recommended Citation:
Xu, Yuni,Fu, Xiang,Chu, Xuefeng. Analyzing the Impacts of Climate Change on Hydro-Environmental Conflict-Resolution Management[J]. WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT,2019-01-01,33(4):1591-1607
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