globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2018.12.079
WOS记录号: WOS:000459845100030
论文题名:
Implications of hydropower variability from climate change for a future, highly-renewable electric grid in California
作者: Tarroja, Brian1; Forrest, Kate1; Chiang, Felicia2; AghaKouchak, Amir1,2; Samuelsen, Scott1,3
通讯作者: Tarroja, Brian
刊名: APPLIED ENERGY
ISSN: 0306-2619
EISSN: 1872-9118
出版年: 2019
卷: 237, 页码:353-366
语种: 英语
WOS关键词: GREENHOUSE-GAS EMISSIONS ; CHANGE IMPACTS ; EVALUATING OPTIONS ; SURFACE-WATER ; GENERATION ; NEXUS ; INTEGRATION ; HYBRID ; SYSTEM ; SOLAR
WOS学科分类: Energy & Fuels ; Engineering, Chemical
WOS研究方向: Energy & Fuels ; Engineering
英文摘要:

This study investigates how hydropower generation under climate change affects the ability of the electric grid to integrate high wind and solar capacities. Using California as an example, water reservoir releases are modeled as a function of hydrologic conditions in the context of a highly-renewable electric grid in the year 2050. The system is perturbed using different climate models under the Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 climate scenario. The findings reveal that climate change impact on hydropower can increase greenhouse gas emissions up to 8.1% due to increased spillage of reservoir inflow reducing hydropower generation, but with minimal effects (< 1%) on renewable utilization and levelized cost of electricity. However, increases in dispatchable power plant capacity of + 2.1 to + 6.3% and decreases in the number of start-up events per power plant unit up to 3.1%, indicate that the majority of dispatchable natural gas power plant capacity is offline for most of the climate change scenarios. While system-wide performance metrics experience small impacts, climate change effects on hydropower generation increase both the need for dispatchable generation and the costs of electricity from these power plants to support large-scale wind and solar integration on the electric grid.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/131241
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.Univ Calif Irvine, Engn Lab Facil, Adv Power & Energy Program, Irvine, CA 92697 USA
2.Univ Calif Irvine, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Engn Gateway Bldg,Suite E4130, Irvine, CA 92697 USA
3.Univ Calif Irvine, Dept Mech & Aerosp Engn, Engn Gateway Bldg,Suite E4230, Irvine, CA 92697 USA

Recommended Citation:
Tarroja, Brian,Forrest, Kate,Chiang, Felicia,et al. Implications of hydropower variability from climate change for a future, highly-renewable electric grid in California[J]. APPLIED ENERGY,2019-01-01,237:353-366
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