globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.1029/2018GB006009
WOS记录号: WOS:000464651600006
论文题名:
Very Strong. Atmospheric Methane Growth in the 4 Years 2014-2017: Implications for the paris Agreement
作者: Nisbet, E. G.1; Manning, M. R.2; Dlugokencky, E. J.3; Fisher, R. E.1; Lowry, D.1; Michel, S. E.4; Myhre, C. Lund5; Platt, M.5; Allen, G.6; Bousquet, P.7; Brownlow, R.8; Cain, M.9,10; France, J. L.1,11; Hermansen, O.5; Hossaini, R.12; Jones, A. E.11; Levin, I13; Manning, A. C.14; Myhre, G.15; Pyle, J. A.16,17; Vaughn, B. H.4; Warwick, N. J.16,17; White, J. W. C.4
通讯作者: Nisbet, E. G. ; Manning, M. R. ; Dlugokencky, E. J.
刊名: GLOBAL BIOGEOCHEMICAL CYCLES
EISSN: 1944-9224
出版年: 2019
卷: 33, 期:3, 页码:318-342
语种: 英语
WOS关键词: ISOTOPIC SOURCE SIGNATURES ; NATURAL-GAS PRODUCTION ; CARBON-DIOXIDE ; ANTHROPOGENIC EMISSIONS ; DECADAL TRENDS ; CLIMATE MODELS ; FOSSIL-FUEL ; TOP-DOWN ; CH4 ; AIR
WOS学科分类: Environmental Sciences ; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向: Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Geology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
英文摘要:

Atmospheric methane grew very rapidly in 2014 (12.7 +/- 0.5 ppb/year), 2015 (10.1 +/- 0.7 ppb/year), 2016 (7.0 +/- 0.7 ppb/year), and 2017 (7.7 +/- 0.7 ppb/year), at rates not observed since the 1980s. The increase in the methane burden began in 2007, with the mean global mole fraction in remote surface background air rising from about 1,775 ppb in 2006 to 1,850 ppb in 2017. Simultaneously the C-13/(12) C isotopic ratio (expressed as delta(13) C-CH4) has shifted, has shifted, now trending negative for more than a decade. The causes of methane's recent mole fraction increase are therefore either a change in the relative proportions (and totals) of emissions from biogenic and thermogenic and pyrogenic sources, especially in the tropics and subtropics, or a decline in the atmospheric sink of methane, or both. Unfortunately, with limited measurement data sets, it is not currently possible to be more definitive. The climate warming impact of the observed methane increase over the past decade, if continued at >5 ppb/year in the coming decades, is sufficient to challenge the Paris Agreement, which requires sharp cuts in the atmospheric methane burden. However, anthropogenic methane emissions are relatively very large and thus offer attractive targets for rapid reduction, which are essential if the Paris Agreement aims are to be attained.


Plain Language Summary The rise in atmospheric methane (CH4), which began in 2007, accelerated in the past 4 years. The growth has been worldwide, especially in the tropics and northern midlatitudes. With the rise has come a shift in the carbon isotope ratio of the methane. The causes of the rise are not fully understood, and may include increased emissions and perhaps a decline in the destruction of methane in the air. Methane's increase since 2007 was not expected in future greenhouse gas scenarios compliant with the targets of the Paris Agreement, and if the increase continues at the same rates it may become very difficult to meet the Paris goals. There is now urgent need to reduce methane emissions, especially from the fossil fuel industry.


Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/131265
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

Files in This Item:

There are no files associated with this item.


作者单位: 1.Royal Holloway Univ London, Dept Earth Sci, Egham, Surrey, England
2.Victoria Univ Wellington, Sch Geog Environm & Earth Sci, Climate Change Res Inst, Wellington, New Zealand
3.US Natl Ocean & Atmospher Adm, Global Monitoring Div, Earth Syst Res Lab, Boulder, CO 80305 USA
4.Univ Colorado, Inst Arctic & Alpine Res, Boulder, CO 80309 USA
5.NILU Norwegian Inst Air Res, Kjeller, Norway
6.Univ Manchester, Ctr Atmospher Sci, Manchester, Lancs, England
7.Lab Sci Climat & Environm, Gif Sur Yvette, France
8.Univ Groningen, Energy & Sustainabil Res Inst, Groningen, Netherlands
9.Univ Oxford, Sch Geog & Environm, Environm Change Inst, Oxford, England
10.Univ Oxford, Oxford Martin Sch, Oxford, England
11.British Antarctic Survey, Cambridge, Cambs, England
12.Univ Lancaster, Lancaster Environm Ctr, Lancaster, England
13.Heidelberg Univ, Inst Umweltphys, Heidelberg, Germany
14.Univ East Anglia, Ctr Ocean & Atmospher Sci, Sch Environm Sci, Norwich, Norfolk, England
15.CICERO Ctr Int Climate Res, Oslo, Norway
16.Univ Cambridge, Natl Ctr Atmospher Sci, Cambridge, England
17.Univ Cambridge, Dept Chem, Cambridge, England

Recommended Citation:
Nisbet, E. G.,Manning, M. R.,Dlugokencky, E. J.,et al. Very Strong. Atmospheric Methane Growth in the 4 Years 2014-2017: Implications for the paris Agreement[J]. GLOBAL BIOGEOCHEMICAL CYCLES,2019-01-01,33(3):318-342
Service
Recommend this item
Sava as my favorate item
Show this item's statistics
Export Endnote File
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[Nisbet, E. G.]'s Articles
[Manning, M. R.]'s Articles
[Dlugokencky, E. J.]'s Articles
百度学术
Similar articles in Baidu Scholar
[Nisbet, E. G.]'s Articles
[Manning, M. R.]'s Articles
[Dlugokencky, E. J.]'s Articles
CSDL cross search
Similar articles in CSDL Cross Search
[Nisbet, E. G.]‘s Articles
[Manning, M. R.]‘s Articles
[Dlugokencky, E. J.]‘s Articles
Related Copyright Policies
Null
收藏/分享
所有评论 (0)
暂无评论
 

Items in IR are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.