globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.1111/sjos.12342
WOS记录号: WOS:000458557100008
论文题名:
Estimating nonlinear additive models with nonstationarities and correlated errors
作者: Vogt, Michael1,2; Walsh, Christopher3
通讯作者: Walsh, Christopher
刊名: SCANDINAVIAN JOURNAL OF STATISTICS
ISSN: 0303-6898
EISSN: 1467-9469
出版年: 2019
卷: 46, 期:1, 页码:160-199
语种: 英语
英文关键词: correlated errors ; nonstationary ; semiparametric ; smooth backfitting
WOS关键词: NONPARAMETRIC REGRESSION ; KERNEL REGRESSION ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; BANDWIDTH
WOS学科分类: Statistics & Probability
WOS研究方向: Mathematics
英文摘要:

In this paper, we study a nonparametric additive regression model suitable for a wide range of time series applications. Our model includes a periodic component, a deterministic time trend, various component functions of stochastic explanatory variables, and an AR(p) error process that accounts for serial correlation in the regression error. We propose an estimation procedure for the nonparametric component functions and the parameters of the error process based on smooth backfitting and quasimaximum likelihood methods. Our theory establishes convergence rates and the asymptotic normality of our estimators. Moreover, we are able to derive an oracle-type result for the estimators of the AR parameters: Under fairly mild conditions, the limiting distribution of our parameter estimators is the same as when the nonparametric component functions are known. Finally, we illustrate our estimation procedure by applying it to a sample of climate and ozone data collected on the Antarctic Peninsula.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/131359
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.Univ Bonn, Dept Econ, Bonn, Germany
2.Univ Bonn, Hausdorff Ctr Math, Bonn, Germany
3.Univ Vienna, Dept Stat & Operat Res, Oskar Morgenstern Pl 1, A-1090 Vienna, Austria

Recommended Citation:
Vogt, Michael,Walsh, Christopher. Estimating nonlinear additive models with nonstationarities and correlated errors[J]. SCANDINAVIAN JOURNAL OF STATISTICS,2019-01-01,46(1):160-199
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