globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.1007/s10113-017-1194-5
WOS记录号: WOS:000461300900005
论文题名:
Modelling population structure in the context of urban land use change in Europe
作者: Terama, Emma1; Clarke, Elizabeth2; Rounsevell, Mark D. A.2,3; Fronzek, Stefan4; Carter, Timothy R.4
通讯作者: Terama, Emma
刊名: REGIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE
ISSN: 1436-3798
EISSN: 1436-378X
出版年: 2019
卷: 19, 期:3, 页码:667-677
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Climate change ; Demography ; Land use ; Population ; Projection ; SSP ; Urban
WOS关键词: SHARED SOCIOECONOMIC PATHWAYS ; CLIMATE-CHANGE RESEARCH ; CHANGE IMPACTS ; VULNERABILITY ; ADAPTATION ; SCENARIOS
WOS学科分类: Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies
WOS研究方向: Environmental Sciences & Ecology
英文摘要:

Population structure and dynamics are important drivers of land use. In this article, we present the methods and outcomes of integrating population projections across multiple spatial scales with an urban growth model. By linking shared socioeconomic pathway (SSP)-specific national population projections to present-day population distributions at a sub-national scale, we describe a downscaling approach that provides input into a regional urban growth (RUG) model for Europe. The allocation of population acts as a key driver for residential urban demand especially in the SSP5-based scenario, and therefore regional (sub-national) urban growth. Sub-national population trends can deviate strongly from national averages stemming from current population age structures: this creates different urban land use patterns and demand for artificial surfaces. We see strong population dependence in the regional development of urban areas across Europe, and the effects caused by age structure and sub-national population dynamics.


Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/131494
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

Files in This Item:

There are no files associated with this item.


作者单位: 1.Finnish Environm Inst SYKE, Environm Policy Ctr, Helsinki, Finland
2.Univ Edinburgh, Sch GeoSci, Edinburgh, Midlothian, Scotland
3.Karlsruhe Inst Technol, Land Use Change Res Grp, Garmisch Partenkirchen, Germany
4.Finnish Environm Inst SYKE, Climate Change Programme, Helsinki, Finland

Recommended Citation:
Terama, Emma,Clarke, Elizabeth,Rounsevell, Mark D. A.,et al. Modelling population structure in the context of urban land use change in Europe[J]. REGIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE,2019-01-01,19(3):667-677
Service
Recommend this item
Sava as my favorate item
Show this item's statistics
Export Endnote File
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[Terama, Emma]'s Articles
[Clarke, Elizabeth]'s Articles
[Rounsevell, Mark D. A.]'s Articles
百度学术
Similar articles in Baidu Scholar
[Terama, Emma]'s Articles
[Clarke, Elizabeth]'s Articles
[Rounsevell, Mark D. A.]'s Articles
CSDL cross search
Similar articles in CSDL Cross Search
[Terama, Emma]‘s Articles
[Clarke, Elizabeth]‘s Articles
[Rounsevell, Mark D. A.]‘s Articles
Related Copyright Policies
Null
收藏/分享
所有评论 (0)
暂无评论
 

Items in IR are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.