globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.1007/s00484-019-01670-9
WOS记录号: WOS:000460632700010
论文题名:
Differences in the impact of heat waves according to urban and peri-urban factors in Madrid
作者: Lopez-Bueno, J. A.1; Diaz, J.1,2; Linares, C.1
通讯作者: Diaz, J.
刊名: INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIOMETEOROLOGY
ISSN: 0020-7128
EISSN: 1432-1254
出版年: 2019
卷: 63, 期:3, 页码:371-380
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Heat waves ; Urban ; Peri-urban factors ; Housing
WOS关键词: TEMPERATURE-RELATED MORTALITY ; AIR-POLLUTION ; LA MANCHA ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; PUBLIC-HEALTH ; TRAFFIC NOISE ; SPAIN ; SUMMER ; VULNERABILITY ; VARIABILITY
WOS学科分类: Biophysics ; Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ; Physiology
WOS研究方向: Biophysics ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ; Physiology
英文摘要:

Aside from climatic factors, the impact of heat waves on mortality depends on the demographic and socio-economic structure of the population as well as variables relating to local housing. Hence, this study's main aim was to ascertain whether there might be a differential impact of heat waves on daily mortality by area of residence. The study is a time-series analysis (2000-2009) of daily mortality and minimum and maximum daily temperatures (degrees C) in five geographical areas of the Madrid region. The impact of such waves on heat-related mortality due to natural causes (ICD-10: A00- R99), circulatory causes (ICD-10: I00-I99) and respiratory causes (ICD-10: J00-J99) was obtained by calculating the relative risk (RR) and attributable risk (AR), using GLM models with the Poisson link and controlling for trend, seasonalities and the autoregressive nature of the series. Furthermore, we also evaluated other external variables, such as the percentage of the population aged over 65years and the percentage of old housing. No heat-related mortality threshold temperature with statistical significance was detected in the northern and eastern areas. While the threshold temperatures in the central and southern areas were very similar and close to the 90th percentile, the threshold in the western area corresponded to the 97th percentile. Attributable mortality proved to be highest in the central area with 85 heat wave-related deaths per annum. External factors found to influence the impact of heat on mortality in Madrid were the size of the population aged over 65years and the age of residential housing. Demographic structure and the percentage of old housing play a key role in modulating the impact of heat waves. This study concludes that the areas in which heat acts earliest are those having a higher degree of population ageing.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/131505
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.Carlos III Inst Hlth, Natl Sch Publ Hlth, Avda Monforte de Lemos 5, Madrid 28029, Spain
2.Inst Salud Carlos III, Escuela Nacl Sanidad, Avda Monforte de Lemos 5, Madrid 28029, Spain

Recommended Citation:
Lopez-Bueno, J. A.,Diaz, J.,Linares, C.. Differences in the impact of heat waves according to urban and peri-urban factors in Madrid[J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIOMETEOROLOGY,2019-01-01,63(3):371-380
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