globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.1080/15563650.2018.1508690
WOS记录号: WOS:000462319600003
论文题名:
Snakebites and climate change in California, 1997-2017
作者: Phillips, Caleb1; Lipman, Grant S.2; Gugelmann, Hallam3; Doering, Katie4; Lung, Derrick3
通讯作者: Lipman, Grant S.
刊名: CLINICAL TOXICOLOGY
ISSN: 1556-3650
EISSN: 1556-9519
出版年: 2019
卷: 57, 期:3, 页码:168-174
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Snakebite ; climate ; environment ; incidence ; poison control center
WOS关键词: UNITED-STATES ; BOTHROPS-ASPER ; ENVENOMATIONS ; EPIDEMIOLOGY ; FATALITIES ; VIPERIDAE ; DATABASE ; DROUGHT
WOS学科分类: Toxicology
WOS研究方向: Toxicology
英文摘要:

Background: Climate change effect on flora and fauna has been scientifically documented, but the effect on North American venomous snakebites is unknown. The objectives were to examine Californian snakebite incidence and correlate with weather patterns and climate changes. Methods: A retrospective analysis of snakebites reported to the Californian Poison Control System from 1 September 1997 to 30 September 2017. Venomous snakebite reports were aggregated by caller zip code, and correlated per county with weather data, air temperature, precipitation, population data, eco-regions, and land characteristics. Time series decomposition by seasonality and trend, regression, and autocorrelation were used to assess association between climate variables and incidence. Results: There were 5365 reported venomous snakebites during the study period, with a median age of 37 years (22-51) with 76% male (p < .001, 95% CI 75.6-77.9%). Most snakebite outcomes were coded as minor (1363, 25%) or moderate (2607, 49%), with three deaths. Adjusted for population, the annualized incidence of snakebites statewide slightly decreased (rho = -0.11, p = .65). The snakebite incidence per million people rose after a period of no drought and declined during drought (r = -0.41, p MUCH LESS-THAN .01). Snakebite incidence decreased by 6-month prior drought (-3.8% for each 10% increase in drought), and increased by 18-month prior precipitation (+3.9% for each 10% increase in precipitation). Conclusions: Patterns of precipitation and drought had a significant and predictive effect on snakebites in California over a 20-year period. Snakebite incidence decreased following drought, and increased after precipitation.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/131787
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.Univ Colorado, Dept Comp Sci, Boulder, CO 80309 USA
2.Stanford Univ, Sch Med, Dept Emergency Med, Stanford, CA 94305 USA
3.Univ Calif San Francisco, Dept Med, Div Clin Pharmacol & Med Toxicol, San Francisco, CA 94143 USA
4.St Joseph Hosp, Orange, CA USA

Recommended Citation:
Phillips, Caleb,Lipman, Grant S.,Gugelmann, Hallam,et al. Snakebites and climate change in California, 1997-2017[J]. CLINICAL TOXICOLOGY,2019-01-01,57(3):168-174
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