globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-019-40597-4
WOS记录号: WOS:000460922200090
论文题名:
Extreme thermal fluctuations from climate change unexpectedly accelerate demographic collapse of vertebrates with temperature-dependent sex determination
作者: Valenzuela, Nicole1; Literman, Robert1; Neuwald, Jennifer L.1,2; Mizoguchi, Beatriz1; Iverson, John B.3; Riley, Julia L.4,5; Litzgus, Jacqueline D.5
通讯作者: Valenzuela, Nicole
刊名: SCIENTIFIC REPORTS
ISSN: 2045-2322
出版年: 2019
卷: 9
语种: 英语
WOS关键词: OFFSPRING SEX ; TURTLE ; EVOLUTION ; INCUBATION ; CONSTANT ; NESTS ; VARIABILITY ; PROPORTION ; DURATION
WOS学科分类: Multidisciplinary Sciences
WOS研究方向: Science & Technology - Other Topics
英文摘要:

Global climate is warming rapidly, threatening vertebrates with temperature-dependent sex determination (TSD) by disrupting sex ratios and other traits. Less understood are the effects of increased thermal fluctuations predicted to accompany climate change. Greater fluctuations could accelerate feminization of species that produce females under warmer conditions (further endangering TSD animals), or counter it (reducing extinction risk). Here we use novel experiments exposing eggs of Painted Turtles (Chrysemys picta) to replicated profiles recorded in field nests plus mathematically-modified profiles of similar shape but wider oscillations, and develop a new mathematical model for analysis. We show that broadening fluctuations around naturally male-producing (cooler) profiles feminizes developing embryos, whereas embryos from warmer profiles remain female or die. This occurs presumably because wider oscillations around cooler profiles expose embryos to very low temperatures that inhibit development, and to feminizing temperatures where most embryogenesis accrues. Likewise, embryos incubated under broader fluctuations around warmer profiles experience mostly feminizing temperatures, some dangerously high (which increase mortality), and fewer colder values that are insufficient to induce male development. Therefore, as thermal fluctuations escalate with global warming, the feminization of TSD turtle populations could accelerate, facilitating extinction by demographic collapse. Aggressive global CO2 mitigation scenarios (RCP2.6) could prevent these risks, while intermediate actions (RCP4.5 and RCP6.0 scenarios) yield moderate feminization, highlighting the peril that insufficient reductions of greenhouse gas emissions pose for TSD taxa. If our findings are generalizable, TSD squamates, tuatara, and crocodilians that produce males at warmer temperatures could suffer accelerated masculinization, underscoring the broad taxonomic threats of climate change.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/131917
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.Iowa State Univ, Dept Ecol Evolut & Organismal Biol, Ames, IA 50011 USA
2.Colorado State Univ, Dept Biol, Ft Collins, CO 80523 USA
3.Earlham Coll, Dept Biol, Richmond, IN 47374 USA
4.Stellenbosch Univ, Dept Bot & Zool, ZA-7602 Stellenbosch, South Africa
5.Laurentian Univ, Dept Biol, Sudbury, ON P3E 2C6, Canada

Recommended Citation:
Valenzuela, Nicole,Literman, Robert,Neuwald, Jennifer L.,et al. Extreme thermal fluctuations from climate change unexpectedly accelerate demographic collapse of vertebrates with temperature-dependent sex determination[J]. SCIENTIFIC REPORTS,2019-01-01,9
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