globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.11.362
WOS记录号: WOS:000455039600036
论文题名:
Effects of temperature, precipitation and carbon dioxide concentrations on the requirements for crop irrigation water in China under future climate scenarios
作者: Zhang, Yajie1; Wang, Yanfen2; Niu, Haishan1
通讯作者: Niu, Haishan
刊名: SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT
ISSN: 0048-9697
EISSN: 1879-1026
出版年: 2019
卷: 656, 页码:373-387
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Atmospheric CO2 concentrations ; Crop irrigation water requirements ; Representative concentration pathways ; China
WOS关键词: AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION ; CO2 CONCENTRATIONS ; CMIP5 ; IMPACTS ; MODEL ; EVAPOTRANSPIRATION ; AVAILABILITY ; SIMULATION ; RICE ; SENSITIVITY
WOS学科分类: Environmental Sciences
WOS研究方向: Environmental Sciences & Ecology
英文摘要:

Maize, rice, wheat and soybean-the major staple food crops in China-have a crucial role in national food security and economic development. Predictions of changes in the requirements for irrigation water in food crop production under climate change may provide scientific support for the optimum allocation of water resources and measures to mitigate climate change. We conducted a spatial grid-based analysis using projections of future climate generated by a bias-correction and spatial disaggregation multi-model ensemble for three representative concentration pathway scenarios (RCP2.6, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5) adopted by the fifth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project. We investigated the effects of climate change associated with increasing temperature, changed precipitation and increased concentrations of atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) on the irrigation water requirements of maize, rice, wheat and soybean in China at the end of the 21st century (2081-2100). Our results indicate that the irrigation water requirements of maize and wheat are driven by temperature and especially by CO2 concentrations in the northwest interior area as a result of the low rainfall and high rates of evaporation; the irrigation water requirement of soybean is influenced by a combined effect of temperature, precipitation and CO2 concentration, whereas the irrigation water requirement for rice is dominated by precipitation alone in the southern coastal region, which has high rainfall. The irrigation water requirements of crops decrease mainly as a result of the beneficial effects of CO2 on plant growth in China. The regions requiring vast amounts of irrigation water as a result of climate change are mainly concentrated in northwestern China. The effects of climate change affect the requirement for irrigation water, especially under high-emission scenarios, and should be studied further to design appropriate adaptation strategies for the management of agricultural water to maintain the sustainable development of agriculture. (C) 2018 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/132107
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Coll Resources & Environm, 19A Yuquan Rd, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China
2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Coll Life Sci, 19A Yuquan Rd, Beijing, Peoples R China

Recommended Citation:
Zhang, Yajie,Wang, Yanfen,Niu, Haishan. Effects of temperature, precipitation and carbon dioxide concentrations on the requirements for crop irrigation water in China under future climate scenarios[J]. SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT,2019-01-01,656:373-387
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