globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.01.131
WOS记录号: WOS:000461262300115
论文题名:
Modelling deep decarbonization of industrial energy consumption under 2-degree target: Comparing China, India and Western Europe
作者: Wang, Huan; Chen, Wenying
通讯作者: Chen, Wenying
刊名: APPLIED ENERGY
ISSN: 0306-2619
EISSN: 1872-9118
出版年: 2019
卷: 238, 页码:1563-1572
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Industry sector ; Shared Socio-economic Pathways ; 2-degree target ; Carbon mitigation ; Global TIMES model
WOS关键词: DECOMPOSITION ANALYSIS ; EMISSION REDUCTION ; TRANSPORT SECTOR ; CEMENT INDUSTRY ; TIMES ; CARBON ; EFFICIENCY ; IRON ; DECARBONISATION ; MITIGATION
WOS学科分类: Energy & Fuels ; Engineering, Chemical
WOS研究方向: Energy & Fuels ; Engineering
英文摘要:

The decarbonization of industrial energy consumption is critical for global climate change mitigation, and this process can bring multiple challenges, especially for regions at the early stage of industrialization. To explore the possible transitions of industry sector under 2-degree target, this paper applied a 14-region energy system model (Global TIMES) to analyze the transition pathways of industry sector. The socio-economic uncertainty was considered by introducing Shared Socio-economic Pathways into scenario design. Moreover, a comparison between China, India and West Europe was conducted, to provide information on the key challenges for regions at different industrialization stages. Modeling results show that: 1. In reference scenarios, global industrial energy demand and CO2 emissions would keep growing in next decades, industry sector may emit over 25% of total energy-related CO2 emissions in 2050; 2. The changes in socio-economic developing pattern could slow down the emission growth, however, under 2-degree target, at least 118 Gt of additional emission reduction is required from 2010 to 2050; 3. The mitigation requirement would lead to great energy structure changes including rapid electrification, electricity may be able to provide nearly 40% of Western Europe's industrial final energy consumption by 2050; 4. Improvement on energy intensity would be accelerated in RCP26 scenarios, especially for emerging economies, by mid-century, China and India's industrial energy intensity would reduce by over 60% and 50% respectively, compared with 2010's level.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/132111
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: Tsinghua Univ, Inst Energy Environm & Econ, Beijing 100084, Peoples R China

Recommended Citation:
Wang, Huan,Chen, Wenying. Modelling deep decarbonization of industrial energy consumption under 2-degree target: Comparing China, India and Western Europe[J]. APPLIED ENERGY,2019-01-01,238:1563-1572
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