globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.11.275
WOS记录号: WOS:000455903400050
论文题名:
Prediction of CH4 emissions from potential natural wetlands on the Tibetan Plateau during the 21st century
作者: Li, Tingting1; Li, Hailing1; Zhang, Qing1; Ma, Zhenfeng2; Yu, Lingfei3; Lu, Yanyu4; Niu, Zhenguo5; Sun, Wenjuan3; Liu, Jia2
通讯作者: Zhang, Qing
刊名: SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT
ISSN: 0048-9697
EISSN: 1879-1026
出版年: 2019
卷: 657, 页码:498-508
语种: 英语
英文关键词: CH4 emissions ; Tibetan plateau ; Climate change ; Model ; Wetland
WOS关键词: NET PRIMARY PRODUCTIVITY ; GLOBAL CLIMATE-CHANGE ; METHANE EMISSIONS ; VASCULAR PLANTS ; TERRESTRIAL ECOSYSTEMS ; ALPINE WETLANDS ; RICE PADDIES ; MODEL ; CHINA ; VEGETATION
WOS学科分类: Environmental Sciences
WOS研究方向: Environmental Sciences & Ecology
英文摘要:

The alpine wetlands on the Tibetan Plateau (TP) are ecosystems vulnerable to global climate change. It has been recognized that future climate change may have a significant impact on methane (CH4) emissions from the plateau, while less attention has been paid to predicting temporal and spatial variations in CH4 emissions from TP natural wetlands. In this study, we used an integrated model framework based on the CH4MOD(wetland), TOPMODEL and TEM models to predict CH4 emissions from potential natural wetlands on the TP under IPCC AR5 scenarios from 2006 to 2100. The model estimates suggest that the mean area-weighted CH4 fluxes will increase from 4.45 +/- 0.42 g m(-2) yr(-1) in 2006 to 479 +/- 072, 5.99 +/- 0.85 and 11.53 +/- 1.33 g m(-2) yr(-1) under 3 Representative Concentration Pathway scenarios (RCP 2.6, RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 scenarios), respectively, by 2100. The dominant drivers stimulating CH4 emissions are air temperature, precipitation and net primary productivity (NPP). Spatially, CH4 fluxes and emissions showed a decreasing trend from south to north and from east to west. In response to climate change, a total of 0.42 +/- 0.06, 0.54 +/- 0.09 and 1.01 +/- 0.12 Tg yr(-1) of CH4 emissions will be emitted from the TP's potential natural wetlands by the end of this century under the RCP 2.6, RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 scenarios, respectively. (C) 2018 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/132224
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Atmospher Phys, LAPC, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China
2.Sichuan Climate Ctr, Chengdu 610071, Sichuan, Peoples R China
3.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Bot, State Key Lab Vegetat & Environm Change, Beijing 100093, Peoples R China
4.Anhui Climate Ctr, Hefei 230031, Anhui, Peoples R China
5.State Key Lab Remote Sensing Sci, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China

Recommended Citation:
Li, Tingting,Li, Hailing,Zhang, Qing,et al. Prediction of CH4 emissions from potential natural wetlands on the Tibetan Plateau during the 21st century[J]. SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT,2019-01-01,657:498-508
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