globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0213368
WOS记录号: WOS:000461765900040
论文题名:
Impacts of forestation and deforestation on local temperature across the globe
作者: Prevedello, Jayme A.1; Winck, Gisele R.2,7; Weber, Marcelo M.2; Nichols, Elizabeth3,4; Sinervo, Barry5,6
通讯作者: Prevedello, Jayme A.
刊名: PLOS ONE
ISSN: 1932-6203
出版年: 2019
卷: 14, 期:3
语种: 英语
WOS关键词: CLIMATE-CHANGE ; AFFORESTATION ; COVER ; AREA ; MICROCLIMATE ; BENEFITS ; ALBEDO ; SHIFTS ; LIFE ; MAP
WOS学科分类: Multidisciplinary Sciences
WOS研究方向: Science & Technology - Other Topics
英文摘要:

Changing forest cover is a key driver of local climate change worldwide, as it affects both albedo and evapotranspiration (ET). Deforestation and forestation are predicted to have opposing influences on surface albedo and ET rates, and thus impact local surface temperatures differently. Relationships between forest change, albedo, ET, and local temperatures may further vary regionally, as the strengths of warming by albedo effects and cooling by ET effects vary with latitude. Despite these important relationships, the magnitude of forest cover effects on local surface temperature across the globe remains unclear. Using recently-released global forest change data, we first show that forestation and deforestation have pervasive and opposite effects on LST, ET and albedo worldwide. Deforestation from 2000 to 2010 caused consistent warming of 0.38 +/- 0.02 (mean +/- SE) and 0.16 +/- 0.01 degrees C in tropical and temperate regions respectively, while forestation caused cooling in those regions of -0.18 +/- 0.02 and -0.19 +/- 0.02 degrees C. Tropical forests were particularly sensitive to the climate effects of forest change, with forest cover losses of similar to 50% associated with increased LST of 1.08 +/- 0.25 degrees C, whereas similar forest cover gains decreased LST by -1.11 +/- 0.26 degrees C. Secondly, based on a new structural equation model, we show that these changes on LST were largely mediated by changes in albedo and ET. Finally, based on this model, we show that predicted forest changes in Brazil associated with a business-as-usual land use scenario through 2050 may increase LST up to 1.45 degrees C. Our results contribute to a better understanding of the mechanistic inter-relationships between forest change and changes in albedo, ET and LST, and provide additional evidence that forestation has the potential to reverse deforestation impacts on local climate, especially in tropical and temperate regions.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/132245
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.Univ Estado Rio De Janeiro, Inst Biol Roberto A Gomes, Dept Ecol, Rio De Janeiro, RJ, Brazil
2.Univ Fed Rio de Janeiro, Inst Biol, Dept Ecol, Rio De Janeiro, RJ, Brazil
3.Swarthmore Coll, Biol Dept, Swarthmore, PA 19081 USA
4.Univ Sao Paulo, Inst Biol, Dept Ecol, Sao Paulo, SP, Brazil
5.Univ Calif Santa Cruz, Dept Ecol & Evolutionary Biol, Santa Cruz, CA 95064 USA
6.Univ Calif Santa Cruz, Inst Ecol & Evolutionary Study Climate Impacts, Santa Cruz, CA 95064 USA
7.Univ Grenoble Alpes, CNRS, Lab Ecol Alpine, UMR 5553, Grenoble, France

Recommended Citation:
Prevedello, Jayme A.,Winck, Gisele R.,Weber, Marcelo M.,et al. Impacts of forestation and deforestation on local temperature across the globe[J]. PLOS ONE,2019-01-01,14(3)
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