globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.12.079
WOS记录号: WOS:000455903400082
论文题名:
Vineyards in transition: A global assessment of the adaptation needs of grape producing regions under climate change
作者: Santillan, David1; Iglesias, Ana2; La Jeunesse, Isabelle3; Garrote, Luis1; Sotes, Vicente4
通讯作者: Santillan, David
刊名: SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT
ISSN: 0048-9697
EISSN: 1879-1026
出版年: 2019
卷: 657, 页码:839-852
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Vineyards ; Global climate change ; Drought ; Adaptation
WOS关键词: CHANGE IMPACTS ; WINE QUALITY ; BIAS CORRECTION ; HARVEST DATES ; RIVER SYSTEM ; DROUGHT ; SUSTAINABILITY ; CLASSIFICATION ; PRECIPITATION ; TEMPERATURES
WOS学科分类: Environmental Sciences
WOS研究方向: Environmental Sciences & Ecology
英文摘要:

This paper suggests how climate change may transform vineyards. We consider changes in agro-climatic indicators derived from climatic variables as drivers for adaptation needs. We use two climate scenarios, GCM GFL-ESM2M and HadGEM2-ES, with 0.5 degrees spatial resolution and daily time step forced by two emission scenarios, RCP2.6 and 6.0, to estimate the transition of potential vineyards in the major grape production world areas by the late 21st century. We present and discuss changes in three impact indicators - one drought indicator and two temperature ones - aimed at exploring the benefits of transition-based policies. The drought indicator provides insights to prepare adaptation for extreme events in probabilistic terms. The temperature indicators offer information on the transition towards suitable zones of production. Future projections suggest a lack of water to maintain current levels of production in all regions of the world. Furthermore, thermal suitability of grapevine may be greatly affected in China and the Mediterranean region. Nevertheless, the possibility of quality wines is not altered within the regions with adequate suitability. Lastly, a portfolio of strategies to adapt to the future climate is presented. (C) 2018 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/132283
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.UPM, Dept Ingn Civil Hidraul Energia & Medio Ambiente, Madrid, Spain
2.UPM, Dept Econ Agr Estadist & Gest Empresas, Madrid, Spain
3.Univ Tours, Lab CNRS 7324 Citeres, Tours, France
4.UPM, Departmento Prod Agr, Madrid, Spain

Recommended Citation:
Santillan, David,Iglesias, Ana,La Jeunesse, Isabelle,et al. Vineyards in transition: A global assessment of the adaptation needs of grape producing regions under climate change[J]. SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT,2019-01-01,657:839-852
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