CO2 EMISSIONS
; SYSTEM DYNAMICS
; ENERGY-CONSUMPTION
; PEAK
; MITIGATION
WOS学科分类:
Multidisciplinary Sciences
WOS研究方向:
Science & Technology - Other Topics
英文摘要:
China committed to peak its carbon emissions around 2030, with best efforts to peak early, and also to achieve 20% non-fossil energy as a proportion of primary energy supply by 2030. These commitments were included in China's nationally-determined contribution to the 2015 Paris Agreement on climate change. We develop and apply a mixed-method methodology for analyzing the likelihood of current Chinese policies reducing greenhouse gas emissions in accordance with China's Paris commitments. We find that China is likely to peak its emissions well in advance of 2030 and achieve its non-fossil target conditional on full and effective implementation of all current policies, successful conclusion of power-sector reform, and full implementation of a national emissions-trading system (ETS) for the power and additional major industrial sectors after 2020. Several policy gaps are identified and discussed.
1.Tufts Univ, Fletcher Sch Law & Diplomacy, Climate Policy Lab, 160 Packard Ave, Medford, MA 02155 USA 2.Energy Innovat, 8 Battery St 202, San Francisco, CA 94111 USA 3.Natl Ctr Climate Change Strategy & Int Cooperat, 11A, Beijing 10038, Peoples R China
Recommended Citation:
Gallagher, Kelly Sims,Zhang, Fang,Orvis, Robbie,et al. Assessing the Policy gaps for achieving China's climate targets in the Paris Agreement[J]. NATURE COMMUNICATIONS,2019-01-01,10