globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.5194/hess-23-1741-2019
WOS记录号: WOS:000462597400001
论文题名:
Technical note: Changes in cross- and auto-dependence structures in climate projections of daily precipitation and their sensitivity to outliers
作者: Hnilica, Jan1,2; Hanel, Martin2; Pus, Vladimir2
通讯作者: Hnilica, Jan
刊名: HYDROLOGY AND EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES
ISSN: 1027-5606
EISSN: 1607-7938
出版年: 2019
卷: 23, 期:3, 页码:1741-1749
语种: 英语
WOS关键词: BIAS CORRECTION
WOS学科分类: Geosciences, Multidisciplinary ; Water Resources
WOS研究方向: Geology ; Water Resources
英文摘要:

Simulations of regional or global climate models are often used for climate change impact assessment. To eliminate systematic errors, which are inherent to all climate model simulations, a number of post-processing (statistical downscaling) methods have been proposed recently. In addition to basic statistical properties of simulated variables, some of these methods also consider a dependence structure between or within variables. In the present paper we assess the changes in cross-and auto-correlation structures of daily precipitation in six regional climate model simulations. In addition the effect of outliers is explored making a distinction between ordinary outliers (i.e. values exceptionally small or large) and dependence outliers (values deviating from dependence structures). It is demonstrated that correlation estimates can be strongly influenced by a few outliers even in large datasets. In turn, any statistical downscaling method relying on sample correlation can therefore provide misleading results. An exploratory procedure is proposed to detect the dependence outliers in multivariate data and to quantify their impact on correlation structures.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/132415
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.Czech Acad Sci, Inst Hydrodynam, Patankou 5, Prague 16612 6, Czech Republic
2.Czech Univ Life Sci Prague, Fac Environm Sci, Kamycka 129, Prague 16521 6, Suchdol, Czech Republic

Recommended Citation:
Hnilica, Jan,Hanel, Martin,Pus, Vladimir. Technical note: Changes in cross- and auto-dependence structures in climate projections of daily precipitation and their sensitivity to outliers[J]. HYDROLOGY AND EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES,2019-01-01,23(3):1741-1749
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