globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.1016/j.jclepro.2019.01.064
WOS记录号: WOS:000459358300018
论文题名:
Assessing the short-to medium-term supply risks of clean energy minerals for China
作者: Zhou, Yanjing1,2; Li, Jianwu2; Wang, Gaoshang2; Chen, Shouyu1; Xing, Wanli2; Li, Tianjiao3
通讯作者: Li, Jianwu
刊名: JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION
ISSN: 0959-6526
EISSN: 1879-1786
出版年: 2019
卷: 215, 页码:217-225
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Supply risk ; Clean energy minerals ; Energy security ; Monte Carlo simulation
WOS关键词: CRITICALITY ; METALS ; RESOURCES ; METHODOLOGY ; BOTTLENECKS
WOS学科分类: Green & Sustainable Science & Technology ; Engineering, Environmental ; Environmental Sciences
WOS研究方向: Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Engineering ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
英文摘要:

Concerns about both climate change and energy security stress the importance of clean energy technologies. This paper examines the minerals used in clean energy technologies (mainly solar energy, wind energy and electric vehicles), of which 12 elements are identified to be dependent on resources outside China. Therefore, a quantitative, relative assessment of short-to medium-term supply risks is measured for 12 elements by analyzing the following factors: country concentration, import reliance, import concentration, country risk, depletion time, companion metal fraction, recycling potential and substitutability. The results highlight four elements to present a high risk, namely: tin, cobalt, chromium and nickel; while lithium, copper and titanium are the most impossible to encounter a supply disruption; the remaining five elements (silver, cadmium, zirconium, manganese and selenium) appear a moderate risk. An uncertainty analysis using Monte Carlo simulation shows a robust reliability on most of the 12 elements except for cobalt and tin. Mitigation strategies to alleviate the potential supply disruption are also discussed, such as broadening import sources; investing domestic and global mining; recycling and substitution; stockpiling. (C) 2019 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/132615
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.China Univ Geosci, Fac Earth Resources, Wuhan 430074, Peoples R China
2.Chinese Acad Geol Sci, Res Ctr Strategy Global Mineral Resources, Beijing 100037, Peoples R China
3.China Univ Geosci Beijing, Beijing 100083, Peoples R China

Recommended Citation:
Zhou, Yanjing,Li, Jianwu,Wang, Gaoshang,et al. Assessing the short-to medium-term supply risks of clean energy minerals for China[J]. JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION,2019-01-01,215:217-225
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