globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2018.09.052
WOS记录号: WOS:000456760900116
论文题名:
The economy-wide effects of large-scale renewable electricity expansion in Europe: The role of integration costs
作者: Bachner, Gabriel1; Steininger, Karl W.1,2; Williges, Keith1; Tuerk, Andreas1
通讯作者: Bachner, Gabriel
刊名: RENEWABLE ENERGY
ISSN: 0960-1481
出版年: 2019
卷: 134, 页码:1369-1380
语种: 英语
英文关键词: VRE expansion ; Integration costs ; Macroeconomic effects ; Wind ; Photovoltaics ; Computable general equilibrium
WOS关键词: CLIMATE-CHANGE ; MARKET VALUE ; WIND POWER ; BOTTOM-UP ; SOLAR ; IMPACTS ; SYSTEMS ; DESIGN ; CARBON ; MODEL
WOS学科分类: Green & Sustainable Science & Technology ; Energy & Fuels
WOS研究方向: Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Energy & Fuels
英文摘要:

With the increasing share of renewables in electricity generation in Europe, implied economy-wide macroeconomic feedbacks and spill-over effects to other sectors and actors are of rising importance. We quantify the macroeconomic effects of a large-scale expansion of wind and photovoltaics (PV) in Europe, employing a global multi-regional multi-sectoral computable general equilibrium (CGE) model. We place special emphasis on electricity market integration costs, which have so far been neglected not only in most bottom-up technology comparisons, but also in macroeconomic studies. We find that the societal welfare effects of a large-scale expansion of wind and PV tend to be positive; however, when integration costs are taken into account, positive welfare effects are either much smaller or even become negative, depending very much on regional characteristics, such as the prevailing electricity mix, weighted average costs of capital (WACC) or capacity factors. We also show that macroeconomic feedback effects raise generation costs above what is anticipated from a bottom-up perspective, since the high capital intensities of renewable electricity generation technologies drive up economy-wide capital prices. This may imply that they are no longer competitive when installed at large-scales. (C) 2018 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/132667
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.Karl Franzens Univ Graz, Wegener Ctr Climate & Global Change, Graz, Austria
2.Karl Franzens Univ Graz, Dept Econ, Graz, Austria

Recommended Citation:
Bachner, Gabriel,Steininger, Karl W.,Williges, Keith,et al. The economy-wide effects of large-scale renewable electricity expansion in Europe: The role of integration costs[J]. RENEWABLE ENERGY,2019-01-01,134:1369-1380
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