globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab012a
WOS记录号: WOS:000464504800001
论文题名:
The unprecedented coupled ocean-atmosphere summer heatwave in the New Zealand region 2017/18: drivers, mechanisms and impacts
作者: Salinger, M. James1; Renwick, James2; Behrens, Erik3; Mullan, A. Brett3; Diamond, Howard J.4; Sirguey, Pascal5; Smith, Robert O.6; Trought, Michael C. T.7; Alexander, Lisa, V8,9; Cullen, Nicolas J.10; Fitzharris, B. Blair10; Hepburn, Christopher D.6; Parker, Amber K.11; Sutton, Phil J.3
通讯作者: Salinger, M. James
刊名: ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS
ISSN: 1748-9326
出版年: 2019
卷: 14, 期:4
语种: 英语
英文关键词: anthropogenic global warming ; atmospheric heatwave ; Southern Alps glacier ice volume ; wine grapes ; marine ecosystems ; marine heatwave
WOS关键词: SEA-SURFACE TEMPERATURE ; SOUTHWEST PACIFIC ; BREWSTER GLACIER ; MASS-BALANCE ; CLIMATE ; RECORD ; INTERPOLATION ; EXTREMES ; INDEXES ; TRENDS
WOS学科分类: Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向: Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
英文摘要:

During austral summer (DJF) 2017/18, the New Zealand region experienced an unprecedented coupled ocean-atmosphere heatwave, covering an area of 4 million km(2). Regional average air temperature anomalies over land were +2.2 degrees C, and sea surface temperature anomalies reached +3.7 degrees C in the eastern Tasman Sea. This paper discusses the event, including atmospheric and oceanic drivers, the role of anthropogenic warming, and terrestrial and marine impacts. The heatwave was associated with very low wind speeds, reducing upper ocean mixing and allowing heat fluxes from the atmosphere to the ocean to cause substantial warming of the stratified surface layers of the Tasman Sea. The event persisted for the entire austral summer resulting in a 3.8 +/- 0.6 km(3) loss of glacier ice in the Southern Alps (the largest annual loss in records back to 1962), very early Sauvignon Blanc wine-grape maturation in Marlborough, and major species disruption in marine ecosystems. The dominant driver was positive Southern Annular Mode (SAM) conditions, with a smaller contribution from La Nina. The long-term trend towards positive SAM conditions, a result of stratospheric ozone depletion and greenhouse gas increase, is thought to have contributed through association with more frequent anticyclonic 'blocking' conditions in the New Zealand region and a more poleward average latitude for the Southern Ocean storm track. The unprecedented heatwave provides a good analogue for possible mean conditions in the late 21st century. The best match suggests this extreme summer may be typical of average New Zealand summer climate for 2081-2100, under the RCP4.5 or RCP6.0 scenario.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/132768
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.Univ Haifa, Dept Geog & Environm Studies, IL-31905 Haifa, Israel
2.Victoria Univ Wellington, Sch Geog Environm & Earth Sci, Wellington, New Zealand
3.Natl Inst Water & Atmospher Res, Wellington, New Zealand
4.NOAA, Air Resources Lab, Silver Spring, MD 20910 USA
5.Univ Otago, Natl Sch Surveying, Dunedin, New Zealand
6.Univ Otago, Dept Marine Sci, Dunedin, New Zealand
7.Plant & Food Res, Blenheim, New Zealand
8.UNSW Sydney, Climate Change Res Ctr, Sydney, NSW, Australia
9.UNSW Sydney, ARC Ctr Excellence Climate Extremes, Sydney, NSW, Australia
10.Univ Otago, Dept Geog, Dunedin, New Zealand
11.Lincoln Univ, Dept Wine Food & Mol Biosci, Lincoln, New Zealand

Recommended Citation:
Salinger, M. James,Renwick, James,Behrens, Erik,et al. The unprecedented coupled ocean-atmosphere summer heatwave in the New Zealand region 2017/18: drivers, mechanisms and impacts[J]. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS,2019-01-01,14(4)
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