globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab04d2
WOS记录号: WOS:000464203100005
论文题名:
Impacts of land cover and land use change on long-term trend of land surface phenology: a case study in agricultural ecosystems
作者: Zhang, Xiaoyang1,2; Liu, Lingling1,2; Henebry, Geoffrey M.3,4
通讯作者: Zhang, Xiaoyang
刊名: ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS
ISSN: 1748-9326
出版年: 2019
卷: 14, 期:4
语种: 英语
英文关键词: land surface phenology ; land cover and land use change ; climate change ; long-term trend ; agriculatural ecosystems
WOS关键词: TIME-SERIES ; VEGETATION PHENOLOGY ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; MODIS ; MODEL ; NDVI ; RESPONSES ; BUDBURST ; AVHRR ; PREDICTION
WOS学科分类: Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向: Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
英文摘要:

Vegetation phenological trends during last few decades have been frequently reported and these trends are commonly assumed to result from climate change. With the widespread influence of both human activities and natural processes, however, land cover and land use change (LCLUC) has dominated across various ecosystems in more than one-third of world's land surface. LCLUC could lead to changes in vegetation types and species composition at local to regional scales. Thus, we hypothesize that LCLUC can significantly influence phenological trends at an ecosystem scale. Here we tested this hypothesis in agricultural ecosystems composed of various crop types spanning the Midwest of the United States by analyzing satellite-observed land surface phenology from 1982 to 2014. Greenup onset dates in croplands occurred later at rates ranging from 0.18 to 0.67 d yr(-1) at the state scale. This trend was due to significant areal increases in corn (maize) and soybean that have later emergence coupled with areal decreases in wheat and oats that have earlier emergence, despite a trend of warmer spring temperatures that aid earlier crop emergence. Overall, considering the long-term directional change in greenup onset dates across these croplands, two-thirds was attributable to LCLUC and one-third to climatic variation. This finding indicates that extensive LCLUC can be the primary driver of satellite-observed phenological trends, especially in intensively managed agricultural landscapes.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/132878
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.South Dakota State Univ, Geospatial Sci Ctr Excellence, Brookings, SD 57007 USA
2.South Dakota State Univ, Dept Geog, Brookings, SD 57007 USA
3.Michigan State Univ, CGCEO, E Lansing, MI 48823 USA
4.Michigan State Univ, Dept Geog Environm & Spatial Sci, E Lansing, MI 48824 USA

Recommended Citation:
Zhang, Xiaoyang,Liu, Lingling,Henebry, Geoffrey M.. Impacts of land cover and land use change on long-term trend of land surface phenology: a case study in agricultural ecosystems[J]. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS,2019-01-01,14(4)
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