globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.1029/2018EF001094
WOS记录号: WOS:000467396900006
论文题名:
Impacts of Sulfate Geoengineering on Rice Yield in China: Results From a Multimodel Ensemble
作者: Zhan, Pei1,2; Zhu, Wenquan1,2; Zhang, Tianyi3; Cui, Xuefeng4; Li, Nan2
通讯作者: Zhu, Wenquan
刊名: EARTHS FUTURE
ISSN: 2328-4277
出版年: 2019
卷: 7, 期:4, 页码:395-410
语种: 英语
英文关键词: sulfate geoengineering ; rice ; GeoMIP ; climate change ; China
WOS关键词: CLIMATE-CHANGE ; MODEL ; ORYZA2000 ; PRECIPITATION ; DROUGHT ; GROWTH
WOS学科分类: Environmental Sciences ; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向: Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Geology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
英文摘要:

Sulfate geoengineering could mitigate global warming via injecting SO2 into the stratosphere. However, its impacts on regional climate might lead to adverse consequences for local agriculture. In this study, we simulated the impacts of sulfate geoengineering on rice yield in China both with sufficient irrigation (irrigated) and without irrigation (rainfed). We used Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project G4 climates from six climate models to force the ORYZA version 3 crop model to simulate rice yields under sulfate geoengineering scenario. G4 prescribes a sulfate injection to offset the radiative forcing in the Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 4.5 scenario. Results indicated that during the last 15years of G4 sulfate geoengineering (i.e., 2055-2069), the implementation of sulfate geoengineering increases rice yields in most areas in China comparing with that without the implementation of sulfate geoengineering (i.e., RCP4.5), with a yield increase of 5.3 +/- 5.7% for irrigated yield and 4.8 +/- 7.3% for rainfed yield. After the termination of sulfate geoengineering, the irrigated rice yield in G4 is still significantly higher than that in RCP4.5, but such increase is not significant for rainfed yield. Temperature is always the dominant factor that drives the rice yield change no matter under irrigated or rainfed conditions, but the effect from solar radiation cannot be ignored in southern China.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/132995
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.Beijing Normal Univ, State Key Lab Earth Surface Proc & Resource Ecol, Beijing, Peoples R China
2.Beijing Normal Univ, Fac Geog Sci, Inst Remote Sensing Sci & Engn, Beijing Engn Res Ctr Global Land Remote Sensing P, Beijing, Peoples R China
3.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Atmospher Phys, State Key Lab Atmospher Boundary Layer Phys & Atm, Beijing, Peoples R China
4.Beijing Normal Univ, Sch Syst Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China

Recommended Citation:
Zhan, Pei,Zhu, Wenquan,Zhang, Tianyi,et al. Impacts of Sulfate Geoengineering on Rice Yield in China: Results From a Multimodel Ensemble[J]. EARTHS FUTURE,2019-01-01,7(4):395-410
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