STORM-SURGE
; SOCIAL VULNERABILITY
; TROPICAL CYCLONES
; NATURAL HAZARDS
; CLIMATE-CHANGE
; BOTTOM STRESS
; MANAGEMENT
; MODEL
; RESILIENCE
; HISTORY
WOS学科分类:
Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
; Water Resources
WOS研究方向:
Geology
; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
; Water Resources
英文摘要:
In this study, the first ever Sea, Lake, Overland Surges from Hurricanes (SLOSH) grid was built for the Yucatan Peninsula. The SLOSH model was used to simulate storm surges in the coastal area of the states of Yucatan and Campeche (Mexico). Based on climatology, more than 39,900 hypothetical hurricanes covering all possible directions of motion were synthesized. The storm intensity (category), forward speed, radius of maximum winds and the tide anomaly were varied for each hypothetical track. According to these scenarios, the potential storm surge and associated inundation threat were computed. Subsequently, the Maximum Envelope of Water (MEOW) and the Maximum of the MEOWs (MOMs) were calculated to assess the flood hazard induced by tropical cyclones under varying conditions. In addition, for each MOM, the socioeconomic vulnerability aspects were taken into account in order to assess the hurricane flood risk for the states of Yucatan and Campeche. Results show that the most vulnerable areas are the surroundings of Terminos lagoon, Campeche City and its neighboring areas in the state of Campeche. For Yucatan, the towns located in the Northwest (Celestun, Hunucma and Progreso) and the eastern part of the state presented the highest risk values. The methodology used in this study can be applied to other coastal zones of Mexico as well as places with similar attributes. Furthermore, the MEOW and MOM are very useful as a decision-making tool for prevention, preparedness, evacuation plans, mitigation of the flood hazard and its associated risk, and also for insurance companies.
1.Sect Manzanillo Escuela Naval, Direcc Gen Maritima, Ctr Invest Oceanograf & Hidrograf Caribe, Cartagena De Indias, Colombia 2.UNAM, Inst Ingn, Lab Ingn & Proc Costeros, Puerto Abrigo S-N, Sisal 92718, Mexico 3.CONACyT, Lab Nacl Resiliencia Costera, Merida, Yucatan, Mexico 4.Florida Int Univ, Int Hurricane Res Ctr, Miami, FL 33199 USA 5.Natl Cent Univ, Grad Inst Hydrol & Ocean Sci, Taoyuan, Taiwan 6.Michael Baker Int, Hamilton, NJ USA
Recommended Citation:
Rey, Wilmer,Tonatiuh Mendoza, E.,Salles, Paulo,et al. Hurricane flood risk assessment for the Yucatan and Campeche State coastal area[J]. NATURAL HAZARDS,2019-01-01,96(3):1041-1065