globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.3390/w11040676
WOS记录号: WOS:000473105700046
论文题名:
Assessing Climate Change Impacts on Streamflow, Sediment and Nutrient Loadings of the Minija River (Lithuania): A Hillslope Watershed Discretization Application with High-Resolution Spatial Inputs
作者: Cerkasova, Natalja1; Umgiesser, Georg1,2; Erturk, Ali3
通讯作者: Cerkasova, Natalja
刊名: WATER
ISSN: 2073-4441
出版年: 2019
卷: 11, 期:4
语种: 英语
英文关键词: hillslope discretization ; SWAT model ; water quality ; Minija River watershed ; climate change
WOS关键词: SWAT MODEL ; QUALITY MODEL ; UNCERTAINTY ; SENSITIVITY ; CALIBRATION ; HYDROLOGY ; LAGOON ; YIELDS ; SLOPE ; BASIN
WOS学科分类: Water Resources
WOS研究方向: Water Resources
英文摘要:

In this paper we focus on the model setup scheme for medium-size watershed with high resolution, multi-site calibration, and present results on the possible changes of the Minija River in flow, sediment load, total nitrogen (TN), and total phosphorus (TP) load in the near-term (up to 2050) and long-term (up to 2099) in the light of climate change (RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 scenarios) under business-as-usual conditions. The SWAT model for the Minija River basin was setup by using the developed Matlab (SWAT-LAB) scripts for a highly customized watershed configuration that addresses the specific needs of the project objective. We performed the watershed delineation by combining sub-basin and hillslope discretization schemes. We defined the HRUs by aggregating the topographic, land use, soil, and administrative unit features of the area. A multisite manual calibration approach was adopted to calibrate and validate the model, achieving good to satisfactory results across different sub-basins of the area for flow, sediments and nutrient loads (TP and TN). After completing the climate change scenario calculations, we found that a net decrease of flow (up to 35%), TN (up to 34%), and TP (up to 50%) loads are projected under both scenarios. Furthermore, we explored the changes in the streamflow composition and provide new insight on the reason of projected nutrient load decrease.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/133115
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.Klaipeda Univ, Marine Res Inst, LT-92294 Klaipeda, Lithuania
2.CNR, ISMAR, Inst Marine Sci, I-30122 Venice, Italy
3.Istanbul Univ, Fac Aquat Sci, Dept Inland Water Resources & Management, TR-34134 Istanbul, Turkey

Recommended Citation:
Cerkasova, Natalja,Umgiesser, Georg,Erturk, Ali. Assessing Climate Change Impacts on Streamflow, Sediment and Nutrient Loadings of the Minija River (Lithuania): A Hillslope Watershed Discretization Application with High-Resolution Spatial Inputs[J]. WATER,2019-01-01,11(4)
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